Ursinus Bears
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1022 (#220) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 1058 (#169) | - |
| Margin | -1.1 (#137) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean | 0.594 (#405) | - |
| Efficiency | 0.614 (#227) | NetEff +4.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.395 (#403) | AdjO 98.1 | AdjD 101.9 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.386 (#401) | AdjO 96.4 | AdjD 100.3 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.433 (#406) | AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 79.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Immaculata | W | 99 - 65 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Wilkes | L | 99 - 100 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Widener | W | 90 - 85 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Rosemont | W | 92 - 58 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | TCNJ | L | 71 - 97 |
| 2024-12-02 | vs | Goucher | W | 93 - 81 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | FDU-Florham | L | 86 - 94 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Coast Guard | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Wartburg | L | 72 - 79 |
| 2024-12-28 | @ | Brevard | W | 91 - 67 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 54 - 97 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Elizabethtown | W | 93 - 90 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Washington Col. | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Haverford | W | 81 - 59 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Gettysburg | L | 88 - 100 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Muhlenberg | W | 85 - 77 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | McDaniel | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Swarthmore | L | 71 - 78 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Dickinson | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Franklin & Marshall | L | 58 - 72 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Johns Hopkins | W | 89 - 79 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Haverford | W | 102 - 89 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Swarthmore | W | 75 - 73 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Muhlenberg | L | 84 - 93 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Washington Col. | W | 83 - 47 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Swarthmore | W | 89 - 67 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Franklin & Marshall | L | 64 - 75 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles, with four dividers separating the position buckets.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ursinus | - | 24 | 201.0 | 82.0 | 39.3 | 14.5 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 15.0 | 61.1 | 71.3 | - | - | - | 48.4 | 31.9 | 69.2 | - | 57.9 | 54.6 |
| Trevor Wall | - | 20 | 31.5 | 22.4 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 16.9 | 11.7 | - | - | - | 50.4 | 31.0 | 71.6 | - | 58.7 | 55.6 |
| Mohamed Toure | - | 24 | 28.3 | 14.2 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 10.5 | 10.8 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 29.5 | 75.2 | - | 57.2 | 52.0 |
| Luke Nieman | - | 24 | 24.2 | 10.1 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.2 | 5.1 | - | - | - | 41.1 | 38.2 | 75.9 | - | 57.7 | 55.8 |
| Marlin Wise | - | 15 | 30.4 | 9.9 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 7.5 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 47.3 | 32.6 | 66.7 | - | 56.7 | 53.6 |
| Nick Nocito | - | 24 | 29.6 | 9.8 | 4.4 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 7.5 | 10.2 | - | - | - | 44.2 | 23.0 | 76.5 | - | 54.5 | 48.1 |
| Jamie Murphy | - | 24 | 20.7 | 8.3 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 6.5 | 7.8 | - | - | - | 52.9 | 28.6 | 63.2 | - | 57.6 | 56.1 |
| Tomas Belaiter | - | 4 | 20.5 | 7.0 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 7.8 | - | - | - | 52.6 | 20.0 | 77.8 | - | 61.0 | 55.3 |
| Jasper Buck | - | 2 | 4.6 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Trevor Toulson | - | 4 | 22.4 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 81.8 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 67.6 | 81.8 |
| Matthew Field | - | 24 | 14.3 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 52.2 | 0.0 | 70.5 | - | 60.0 | 52.2 |
| Cole Grubbs | - | 20 | 22.7 | 4.3 | 6.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 9.9 | - | - | - | 66.0 | 0 | 47.2 | - | 63.2 | 66.0 |
| Porter Kelly | - | 11 | 9.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 42.3 | 38.9 | 50.0 | - | 55.9 | 55.8 |
| Patrick Downes | - | 10 | 9.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 35.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 44.0 | 42.5 |
| Will Allain | - | 8 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 60.0 | 100.0 | - | 82.9 | 81.2 |
| Michael Farley | - | 7 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 65.4 | 66.7 |
| Luke Trotta | - | 4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Nico Gordon | - | 11 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 71.2 | 80.0 |
| Brycen Martin | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Graham Eilberg | - | 2 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| TEAM | - | 24 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG