Gettysburg
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1101 (#102) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1075 (#191) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1182 (#23) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.4 (#106) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.0 (#320) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.706 (#347) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.698 (#276) | AdjNet +7.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.692 (#279) | AdjNet +6.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.590 (#296) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 69.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.649 (#149) | AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 63.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.654 (#255) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.671 (#233) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1211 (#59) | RD 99 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Wilson | W | 81 - 79 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Randolph-Macon | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Mount Aloysius | W | 89 - 64 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Stockton | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Montclair St. | L | 65 - 84 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | L | 79 - 84 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 56 - 59 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Mary Washington | L | 52 - 65 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Salisbury | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Wilkes | L | 68 - 74 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Husson | W | 78 - 77 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | York (PA) | L | 61 - 64 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Johns Hopkins | L | 56 - 58 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | W | 72 - 58 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Ursinus | W | 80 - 74 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Dickinson | W | 72 - 45 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Swarthmore | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | McDaniel | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Washington Col. | W | 79 - 64 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Johns Hopkins | W | 61 - 59 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Muhlenberg | W | 64 - 56 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Troyer | - | 1 | 26.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 45 | 3.0 | 14.9 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 64.3 | -0.95 | 57.6 | 41.7 |
| Ray Zamloot | - | 18 | 31.2 | 13.1 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 10.3 | 8.3 | 62 | 3.4 | 11.8 | 43.0 | 40.0 | 81.6 | 2.13 | 58.0 | 54.8 |
| Tate Landis | - | 1 | 36.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 77 | 5.1 | 18.5 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 2.48 | 53.6 | 38.9 |
| Caleb Gillus | - | 18 | 28.9 | 10.9 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 9.5 | 5.6 | 18 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 36.8 | 29.7 | 70.3 | -1.05 | 48.4 | 42.4 |
| Aidan Mess | - | 19 | 19.9 | 9.2 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 5.5 | 12.1 | 22 | 1.2 | 7.7 | 45.2 | 20.0 | 79.8 | 0.4 | 59.3 | 46.2 |
| Nate Williams | - | 13 | 24.8 | 9.1 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 6.4 | 17 | 1.7 | 17.5 | 38.5 | 32.8 | 62.1 | 1.6 | 50.5 | 48.1 |
| Cooper Haberern | - | 1 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 112 | 8.0 | 24.5 | 33.3 | 37.5 | 0 | 3.99 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Reece Craft | - | 20 | 22.4 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 5.5 | 7.1 | 43 | 2.4 | 11.6 | 60.4 | 14.3 | 67.9 | -0.03 | 62.8 | 61.3 |
| Kosta Radulovic | - | 20 | 16.6 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 40 | 2.2 | 14.0 | 59.4 | 9.1 | 48.4 | -1.3 | 59.3 | 59.9 |
| Lorenzo Carrara | - | 20 | 16.9 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 20 | 1.1 | 7.2 | 42.4 | 37.0 | 70.0 | 0.98 | 55.6 | 53.3 |
| Colin Treude | - | 1 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 49 | 3.5 | 49.1 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.06 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Malachi Briscoe | - | 20 | 18.9 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 37.1 | 37.9 | 68.8 | 1.69 | 50.5 | 45.0 |
| Aleks Smith | - | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 21 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.93 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Josh Herr | - | 16 | 13.3 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 4.9 | -23 | -1.4 | -7.3 | 51.4 | 50.0 | 72.4 | -1.83 | 64.9 | 58.6 |
| Alex Grospe | - | 18 | 9.9 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 11 | 0.6 | 6.1 | 51.7 | 37.5 | 75.0 | 1.32 | 63.4 | 62.1 |
| Jonas De Krassel | - | 3 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.7 | 45.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.49 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Carson Kasmer | - | 10 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | -6 | -0.6 | -9.2 | 55.6 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.11 | 61.1 | 61.1 |
| Vule Sukovic | - | 8 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 18 | 2.6 | 63.6 | 25.0 | 16.7 | 75.0 | 1.69 | 41.0 | 31.2 |
| Dom Neverbickas | - | 11 | 10.8 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 10 | 1.1 | 15.8 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.43 | 21.6 | 20.0 |
| Nick Schroeder | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 54 | 3.6 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.69 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| David Weaver | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 24 | 2.2 | 44.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.55 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jay Colon | - | 2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -2 | -1.0 | -35.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Filip Puzic | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG