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Muhlenberg

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Muhlenberg
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1055 (#170) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1071 (#201) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 978 (#558) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -4.4 (#186) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -8.2 (#497) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.426 (#513) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.3 More → 0.279 (#468) AdjNet -8.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.6 More → 0.268 (#473) AdjNet -8.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 74.5 More → 0.364 (#472) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 74.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 66.4 More → 0.445 (#518) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 66.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.384 (#506) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.393 (#501) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 21 More → 1016 (#342) RD 96 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Moravian L 93 - 96
2025-11-12 @ Penn College W 58 - 45
2025-11-14 @ Mount Union L 40 - 76
2025-11-15 @ Waynesburg W 67 - 43
2025-11-19 vs King's (PA) W 65 - 61
2025-11-22 vs DeSales W 62 - 59
2025-11-25 @ Neumann L 61 - 71
2025-12-06 vs Lebanon Valley W 79 - 59
2025-12-13 @ Penn St. Harrisburg L 52 - 61
2025-12-29 @ New Jersey City L 37 - 49
2025-12-30 @ Emmanuel (MA) W 77 - 67
2026-01-03 @ Wilkes W 74 - 59
2026-01-10 @ Haverford W 64 - 56
2026-01-14 @ Swarthmore L 73 - 74
2026-01-17 vs Washington Col. W 72 - 60
2026-01-21 vs Ursinus L 72 - 87
2026-01-24 @ Johns Hopkins L 53 - 80
2026-01-28 vs Haverford W 63 - 60
2026-01-31 vs Swarthmore L 59 - 61
2026-02-04 vs Dickinson W 56 - 53
2026-02-07 @ Gettysburg L 56 - 64

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Charlie Jackson - 1 25.0 31.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 13.0 28.0 62 3.1 17.4 84.6 50.0 100.0 -1.15 96.4 92.3
Drew Buck - 19 32.3 12.3 3.7 1.1 1.2 0.4 1.5 8.1 9.2 -19 -1.1 -3.6 51.3 43.2 77.2 -1.14 65.3 61.7
Arinze Achufusi - 14 28.1 10.8 1.6 1.5 1.1 0.3 1.5 9.2 4.5 1 0.1 0.4 43.4 34.5 72.5 -1.73 51.5 47.3
Jack Woodard - 19 29.3 10.8 5.4 2.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 9.6 8.4 -50 -2.8 -9.8 36.1 33.6 82.2 0.5 50.8 46.2
Peter Stanton-Shepherd - 18 29.4 10.0 7.3 1.4 1.1 0.4 1.6 10.2 8.4 -6 -0.4 -1.4 38.3 31.2 51.7 0.02 46.0 45.1
Justin Leddo - 1 18.0 8.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 8.0 -39 -2.3 -43.4 42.9 50.0 0 -1.76 57.1 57.1
Jordan Spencer - 1 28.0 7.0 9.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 127 7.1 48.0 30.0 50.0 0.0 3.89 33.5 35.0
Nate Hoffman - 17 24.1 5.9 3.9 1.6 1.0 0.2 1.5 5.4 5.8 -26 -1.6 -10.2 44.0 26.8 66.7 -0.58 51.7 50.0
Elias Sherman-Murphy - 15 16.5 5.7 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.1 5.0 2.9 -13 -0.9 -12.7 42.7 28.6 84.2 0.48 51.6 46.7
Liam Gorman - 19 15.7 5.2 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 4.4 4.1 -1 -0.1 -0.4 32.5 34.0 73.7 -2.44 49.1 42.2
David Reed IV - 1 14.0 5.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 12.0 -29 -1.6 -21.3 66.7 0 50.0 -1.38 64.4 66.7
Drew Greene - 11 20.9 4.4 2.7 3.3 1.2 0.0 1.7 4.1 5.7 -18 -1.8 -6.4 40.0 0.0 57.1 -0.07 44.2 40.0
Chris Henderson - 1 23.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 104 5.8 39.6 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.52 42.0 0.0
Tomas Bruzoni - 1 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -3 -0.4 -8.6 0 0 66.7 0.54 75.8 0
Teagan Swint - 1 7.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 32 1.8 41.8 50.0 0.0 0 -0.03 50.0 50.0
Brendan Luddy - 3 10.2 3.7 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 -2 -1.0 -3.1 44.4 50.0 0.0 -0.81 53.3 61.1
Antwone George - 1 21.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 11 0.6 5.5 0.0 0.0 75.0 2.64 22.2 0.0
Mason Pulliam - 1 14.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Dan Becil - 1 9.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 1 0.1 1.7 0.0 0.0 75.0 -0.57 54.3 0.0
Tanti Felli - 1 19.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 24 1.3 7.6 50.0 0 50.0 0.42 52.1 50.0
Matt Lee - 8 13.3 2.9 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 2.9 2.2 -9 -1.3 -10.0 34.8 25.0 100.0 -0.83 48.2 45.7
Gavin D'Iorio - 16 15.1 2.4 2.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 2.7 2.3 0 0.0 0.0 30.2 11.5 69.2 1.67 39.0 33.7
Nathan Comerford - 12 9.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.4 2.5 1.1 21 1.9 12.6 36.7 27.3 12.5 1.12 38.8 41.7
Maurice Davis - 1 18.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 42 2.1 25.6 100.0 0 0.0 2.57 43.1 100.0
Evan Rainville - 1 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 -1 -0.1 -1.2 20.0 0.0 0 0.81 20.0 20.0
Will Stevenson - 1 14.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 25 1.2 13.9 0 0 100.0 1.7 113.6 0
Colin Boyle - 2 3.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 -0.21 34.7 50.0
Justin Buck - 3 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 4 1.3 57.8 100.0 100.0 0 0.9 150.0 150.0
Gianpiero Arnone - 4 6.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 3 1.0 11.0 33.3 0 0 0.64 33.3 33.3
Connor Patackis - 1 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Antoine Vandewiele - 2 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -4 -4.0 -102.1 0 0 0 -0.41 0 0
Isaiah Hanson - 1 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -5 -0.7 -16.8 0 0 0 0.71 0 0
Justin Huang - 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 30 1.8 30.9 0.0 0.0 0 2.66 0.0 0.0
Paul Joire - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1 0.1 3.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.14 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG