Husson
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1090 (#122) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1027 (#332) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1045 (#190) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.8 (#262) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.8 (#508) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.801 (#293) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.399 (#400) | AdjNet -3.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.351 (#421) | AdjNet -5.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.411 (#424) | AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 78.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.500 (#409) | AdjO 83.1 | AdjD 83.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.394 (#494) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.416 (#478) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1005 (#365) | RD 95 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | vs | Me.-Fort Kent | W | 113 - 90 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | St. Joseph's (ME) | L | 69 - 89 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Bates | L | 62 - 90 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Thomas (ME) | W | 85 - 71 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Lesley | W | 94 - 61 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Me.-Presque Isle | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Maine Maritime | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Me.-Farmington | L | 83 - 91 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Roanoke | L | 62 - 91 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Gettysburg | L | 77 - 78 |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | SUNY Delhi | W | 101 - 83 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | SUNY Cobleskill | W | 85 - 77 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | VTSU-Johnson | W | 93 - 81 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | VTSU Lyndon | W | 113 - 99 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Thomas (ME) | W | 107 - 63 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Lesley | W | 113 - 96 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Colby | L | 69 - 96 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Me.-Farmington | L | 80 - 81 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Maine Maritime | W | 92 - 85 |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | Bowdoin | L | 80 - 95 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Me.-Presque Isle | W | 85 - 72 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 93 - 95 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | SUNY Delhi | W | 92 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Ahlers | - | 21 | 30.4 | 20.5 | 9.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 15.0 | 15.9 | 37 | 1.8 | 25.2 | 46.0 | 34.6 | 83.8 | -2.72 | 59.1 | 53.5 |
| Jaxon Miles | - | 1 | 20.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | -14 | -1.2 | -11.6 | 50.0 | 37.5 | 42.9 | -0.9 | 59.7 | 62.5 |
| Connor Heald | - | 22 | 32.4 | 15.6 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 11.9 | 10.5 | 59 | 2.7 | 28.4 | 50.8 | 33.9 | 86.7 | 0.56 | 61.0 | 58.2 |
| Aaron Feaster | - | 1 | 21.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | -83 | -5.2 | -57.3 | 71.4 | 60.0 | 66.7 | -2.53 | 90.1 | 92.9 |
| Andre McCauley | - | 20 | 26.9 | 13.8 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 9.7 | 9.7 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.5 | 49.7 | 40.7 | 82.9 | -2.7 | 61.2 | 55.4 |
| Gil Matondo | - | 22 | 29.4 | 12.1 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 10.2 | 10.8 | 47 | 2.1 | 23.3 | 48.2 | 19.4 | 73.3 | -0.22 | 53.3 | 49.8 |
| Austin Hamilton | - | 1 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | -2 | -0.7 | -13.8 | 33.3 | 37.5 | 0 | 0.99 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Christian Smith | - | 17 | 22.9 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 104 | 5.8 | 27.8 | 48.1 | 37.0 | 65.5 | 3.25 | 58.0 | 56.0 |
| Ty Henke | - | 22 | 19.7 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 4.3 | -19 | -0.9 | -16.5 | 43.0 | 44.3 | 68.8 | -0.16 | 58.4 | 57.4 |
| Shane Biscaya | - | 1 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -8 | -1.6 | -20.3 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0.33 | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| Dylan Burpee | - | 22 | 22.5 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 7.1 | 33 | 1.5 | 18.9 | 43.6 | 25.6 | 68.8 | 0.33 | 50.0 | 48.2 |
| Tope Alao | - | 2 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 85.0 | 90.0 |
| Nez Perkins | - | 5 | 8.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 9 | 2.2 | 423.5 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 87.5 | -0.01 | 59.9 | 44.4 |
| Pierce Walston | - | 13 | 13.5 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 6.4 | - | - | - | 45.2 | 44.4 | 66.7 | - | 54.3 | 51.6 |
| Derrick Carroll | - | 13 | 7.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 0.5 | -29 | -2.6 | -1364.7 | 30.6 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -0.01 | 38.9 | 37.5 |
| Christian Leone | - | 2 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Ryan Ellis | - | 1 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -59 | -4.2 | -19.9 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.95 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Shea Fontanella | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0.2 | 133.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.49 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jamarick Preston | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -48 | -4.4 | -143.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.73 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Adam Chaffin | - | 2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Charlie Katsiaficas | - | 13 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 9 | 0.8 | 31.4 | 24.0 | 20.8 | 0 | 1.82 | 34.0 | 34.0 |
| Bryce Tackett | - | 8 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | -18 | -2.2 | -847.1 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 0.0 | -0.01 | 42.4 | 44.4 |
| Jayeson VanBeveren | - | 12 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | -9 | -0.8 | -423.5 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -0.01 | 38.8 | 37.5 |
| Sammy Nzeyimana | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -69 | -5.8 | -85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.98 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mateo Duran | - | 1 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -45 | -3.8 | -30.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Justin Hil | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 2 | 1.0 | 24.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sean Chanakira | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -6 | -0.8 | -21.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Moses Semuhoza | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -48 | -5.3 | -29.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.19 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jeremiah Grissom | - | 1 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG