🐻⬇️🏀

Salisbury

Also known as: Salisbury
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 938 (#485) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1027 (#331) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 953 (#599) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -4.9 (#192) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -10.2 (#533) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.625 (#383) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.1 More → 0.503 (#353) AdjNet +0.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.2 More → 0.496 (#351) AdjNet -0.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.490 (#357) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 71.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 74.2 More → 0.404 (#574) AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 74.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.350 (#540) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.358 (#541) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 21 More → 933 (#449) RD 109 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Stockton W 83 - 74
2025-11-12 vs Hampden-Sydney L 56 - 79
2025-11-14 vs Wash. & Lee L 63 - 88
2025-11-15 @ Messiah W 90 - 68
2025-11-21 @ Notre Dame (MD) L 77 - 81
2025-11-23 @ Roanoke L 63 - 79
2025-11-29 @ Johns Hopkins L 48 - 81
2025-12-03 vs Eastern W 71 - 63
2025-12-06 vs Gettysburg L 63 - 68
2025-12-10 @ St. Mary's (MD) W 77 - 66
2025-12-13 @ Widener W 80 - 75
2025-12-29 vs Eastern W 72 - 46
2025-12-30 @ Randolph-Macon L 70 - 91
2026-01-03 vs Swarthmore W 66 - 48
2026-01-05 vs Washington Col. W 72 - 71
2026-01-10 vs Regent W 72 - 68
2026-01-13 vs Penn St.-Abington W 94 - 88
2026-01-17 vs Mary Hardin-Baylor L 60 - 64
2026-01-18 vs East Tex. Baptist L 65 - 70
2026-01-28 vs Mary Washington L 62 - 91
2026-02-07 @ Penn St. Harrisburg L 70 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tyler Fox - 1 35.8 23.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 14.0 11.0 - - - 57.1 83.3 66.7 - 75.1 75.0
JoJo Kelly - 1 39.8 23.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 19.0 -73 -4.1 -13.3 38.5 60.0 83.3 0.91 62.9 50.0
Nathan Fleming - 1 29.0 20.0 14.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 15.0 22.0 -12 -0.6 -4.0 40.0 33.3 100.0 -0.74 56.7 46.7
Caleb Gillus - 1 32.4 19.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 16.0 18 1.0 4.0 63.6 50.0 50.0 -1.05 69.6 72.7
Malcolm Hodges - 1 25.5 18.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 11.0 155 7.8 55.2 88.9 0 100.0 4.62 91.1 88.9
Jon Nalty - 1 32.5 17.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 9.0 -60 -2.9 -14.8 53.3 25.0 0 -0.5 56.7 56.7
Jabril Robinson - 1 29.2 15.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 17.0 97 5.4 43.6 75.0 100.0 0 1.46 93.8 93.8
Nate Williams - 1 26.4 15.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 7.0 17 1.7 17.5 45.5 25.0 66.7 1.6 55.0 50.0
Zachary Engels - 1 32.0 15.0 11.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 13.0 11.0 21 0.9 6.7 38.5 28.6 75.0 -0.54 50.8 46.2
Nolan Waldon - 1 30.4 13.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 3.0 -83 -3.8 -28.2 26.7 66.7 75.0 -5.01 38.8 33.3
Aidan Mess - 1 24.5 13.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 7.0 20.0 22 1.2 7.7 57.1 0.0 83.3 0.4 67.4 57.1
Jamison Graves - 11 26.1 12.6 3.1 1.1 1.5 0.2 2.6 10.5 5.5 -52 -3.7 -25.6 39.1 42.3 79.4 -1.15 53.5 48.7
Davis Bland - 1 23.8 12.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 -43 -2.0 -15.0 80.0 80.0 0 -1.87 120.0 120.0
K'Mari Smith - 1 28.3 12.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 12.0 -53 -2.9 -9.2 40.0 33.3 77.8 1.2 67.0 50.0
Ryan Lang - 1 26.8 11.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 12.0 -120 -6.0 -34.2 80.0 75.0 0 -3.7 110.0 110.0
Donta Coady - 1 22.0 11.0 8.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 16.0 38 1.7 16.1 80.0 66.7 33.3 3.99 87.0 100.0
Chris Henderson - 1 25.0 11.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 4.0 104 5.8 39.6 36.4 0.0 37.5 0.52 37.9 36.4
Jordan Spencer - 1 28.0 11.0 9.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 16.0 127 7.1 48.0 57.1 50.0 50.0 3.89 69.8 71.4
Calvin Thomas - 11 20.2 10.0 5.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 1.1 7.6 8.2 -43 -3.6 -48.8 47.6 0 60.0 -0.42 51.9 47.6
Churchilll Bounds - 11 20.2 10.0 5.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 1.1 7.6 8.2 10 0.6 13.5 47.6 0 60.0 -0.64 51.9 47.6
Aidan Camper - 12 30.9 9.8 2.5 3.3 1.1 0.1 2.2 7.4 7.2 11 0.6 4.9 37.1 34.0 77.8 -0.25 54.2 46.6
Liam Joyce - 1 21.6 9.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 9.0 98 4.9 42.6 100.0 0 50.0 -0.26 92.2 100.0
Keishawn Pulley Jr. - 1 28.4 9.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 9.0 148 7.4 38.8 50.0 25.0 100.0 3.36 65.4 58.3
Tamir Powell - 1 24.7 9.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 3.0 -71 -4.4 -32.0 27.3 28.6 100.0 0.62 39.3 36.4
Grant Jessen - 1 17.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 6.0 10.0 30 1.4 26.7 66.7 50.0 0 1.21 75.0 75.0
Antwone George - 1 21.0 9.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 7.0 11 0.6 5.5 33.3 50.0 100.0 2.64 45.5 38.9
Daniel Oyediran - 11 21.6 8.8 3.3 0.8 0.6 0.0 2.0 8.4 3.2 -20 -1.3 -12.7 39.1 21.7 60.6 1.5 45.5 41.8
Jack Loyd - 1 6.7 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 40 2.9 60.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 1.61 138.9 150.0
Tyler Meinel - 1 29.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 4.0 -82 -4.6 -16.3 50.0 50.0 100.0 -2.26 62.1 58.3
Kosta Radulovic - 1 15.5 8.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 4.0 40 2.2 14.0 50.0 0.0 100.0 -1.3 58.1 50.0
Jae Harris - 1 15.1 7.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 6.0 -43 -5.4 -12.5 25.0 50.0 100.0 -2.58 39.4 31.2
Ty Woodland - 1 24.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 6.0 6.0 -144 -7.2 -39.0 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.02 54.3 50.0
Leon Elung - 13 24.8 6.5 7.5 1.5 0.8 0.8 1.5 6.5 9.0 -21 -1.2 -9.3 44.7 0 26.7 -2.03 42.8 44.7
Tyler Ball - 12 21.5 6.3 3.2 1.0 1.6 0.4 1.2 5.2 6.2 2 0.1 1.6 38.7 29.0 76.0 1.95 52.1 46.0
Amr Areikat - 1 15.3 6.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 7.0 66 3.3 31.5 50.0 0 100.0 3.46 79.8 50.0
Sean Murphy - 1 13.5 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 144 4.8 61.9 100.0 100.0 50.0 1.77 104.2 125.0
Marcus Morgan - 1 22.0 6.0 4.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 9.0 198 9.4 79.2 33.3 0 66.7 4.72 41.0 33.3
Lorenzo Carrara - 1 15.3 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 20 1.1 7.2 50.0 50.0 0 0.98 75.0 75.0
Josiah Wray - 1 11.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 18 0.8 25.0 66.7 0.0 66.7 -0.82 69.4 66.7
David Reed IV - 1 14.0 6.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 -29 -1.6 -21.3 60.0 0 0.0 -1.38 44.4 60.0
Gavin O'Malley - 1 17.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 164 7.1 48.8 66.7 0 50.0 1.66 64.4 66.7
Patrick Clevenger - 1 27.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 127 5.5 32.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.49 59.5 0.0
Malachi Briscoe - 1 25.9 5.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 4 0.2 1.4 100.0 0 50.0 1.69 86.8 100.0
Christian Dews - 1 20.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 - - - 40.0 0 50.0 - 42.5 40.0
Theo Antinori - 1 26.3 4.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 110 5.5 31.6 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.99 41.0 50.0
Mike Byfield - 1 19.9 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 -82 -4.3 -19.6 50.0 0.0 0 -1.38 50.0 50.0
Connor Zamiara - 1 27.0 4.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 13.0 24 1.0 8.8 50.0 0 100.0 1.15 69.4 50.0
Elijah Bryan - 11 13.4 3.4 2.7 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 2.6 4.0 13 0.8 14.5 51.7 0.0 70.0 1.37 55.4 51.7
Brady Lam - 1 13.2 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 39 2.4 64.1 50.0 50.0 0 1.97 75.0 75.0
Jamze Johnson - 1 4.3 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 14 0.8 9.4 100.0 100.0 0 2.69 150.0 150.0
Porter Stanley - 1 19.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 9.0 89 4.2 39.1 50.0 0 50.0 -0.32 52.1 50.0
Justin Leddo - 1 12.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 -39 -2.3 -43.4 20.0 33.3 0 -1.76 30.0 30.0
Patrick Wynne - 13 14.7 2.8 3.0 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.9 3.4 3.0 6 0.4 3.1 31.8 26.3 66.7 0.65 39.7 37.5
Joey Lutz - 12 7.6 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 3.4 0.7 1 0.1 1.4 26.8 27.3 50.0 -0.87 38.2 37.8
Jaylen Shippen - 12 7.6 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 3.4 0.7 -8 -0.5 -14.8 26.8 27.3 50.0 -0.16 38.2 37.8
Elijah Carroll - 10 4.7 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2.0 0.9 15 1.2 13.9 40.0 33.3 62.5 3.04 46.8 42.5
Theartis Battle - 1 16.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 13 0.7 10.1 33.3 0 0 0.89 33.3 33.3
Ben Costello - 1 12.9 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -101 -5.0 -43.8 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.56 34.7 0.0
Max Portnoy - 1 21.9 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 -3 -0.1 -0.7 25.0 0 0 0.51 25.0 25.0
Ray Zamloot - 1 31.1 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -3.0 62 3.4 11.8 20.0 0.0 0 2.13 20.0 20.0
Andrew Maddalon - 1 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 16 1.8 102.1 0.0 0 50.0 -0.14 26.6 0.0
Leo Ferry - 4 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 -0.5 8 2.0 182.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.38 0.0 0.0
James Carswell - 1 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 55 5.5 44.6 0 0 0 1.3 0 0
Daniel Keogh - 1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26 2.4 93.7 0 0 0 -0.67 0 0
Steve-Kelyan Ndingue - 5 2.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 -0.4 11 2.2 115.8 0.0 0 0 -0.03 0.0 0.0
Jacob Becker - 1 11.3 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 11 0.7 9.7 0.0 0 0 1.38 0.0 0.0
David Carr Jr. - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 2.91 0 0
Salahudin Muhammad - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.1 -3.5 0 0 0 0.29 0 0
Jeremiah Samuel - 1 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Donovan Lloyd - 2 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Colin Fayed - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25 1.8 20.7 0 0 0 -0.39 0 0
Yuri Manns - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -1.5 -248.3 0 0 0 0.01 0 0
Jack Adair - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14 1.6 52.5 0 0 0 -1.29 0 0
Rylan Parkins - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 16 2.0 52.5 0 0 0 -0.82 0 0
Reece Craft - 1 14.1 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 43 2.4 11.6 0 0 0 -0.03 0 0
Alex Grospe - 1 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 11 0.6 6.1 0 0 0 1.32 0 0
Carson Kasmer - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -6 -0.6 -9.2 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
Dom Neverbickas - 1 8.9 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 10 1.1 15.8 0.0 0.0 0 2.43 0.0 0.0
Zach May - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -14 -0.7 -13.1 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0
Joshua Pearre - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0.1 3.5 0 0 0.0 0.44 0.0 0
Trey Seigle - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -16 -1.6 -102.9 0.0 0.0 0 -0.65 0.0 0.0
Maurice Davis - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 42 2.1 25.6 0.0 0 0 2.57 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG