Randolph-Macon
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1209 (#22) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1338 (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1223 (#6) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +25.5 (#3) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +23.5 (#95) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.955 (#219) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.969 (#113) | AdjNet +29.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.965 (#129) | AdjNet +28.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.850 (#141) | AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 58.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.904 (#3) | AdjO 82.0 | AdjD 57.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.924 (#15) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.925 (#8) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1357 (#6) | RD 112 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Eastern | W | 97 - 71 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Gettysburg | W | 62 - 59 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Chris. Newport | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Yeshiva | W | 92 - 57 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Hampden-Sydney | W | 85 - 50 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Roanoke | W | 66 - 61 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Centre | W | 84 - 46 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Augsburg | W | 85 - 49 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Misericordia | W | 95 - 36 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Salisbury | W | 91 - 70 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Lynchburg | W | 85 - 60 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Averett | L | 60 - 62 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Guilford | W | 83 - 73 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | W | 103 - 47 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Shenandoah | W | 84 - 42 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | L | 64 - 65 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Randolph | W | 94 - 36 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | East. Mennonite | W | 95 - 46 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Wash. & Lee | W | 82 - 66 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Hampden-Sydney | W | 69 - 53 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Mary Washington | W | 85 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timayahs Bracey | - | 1 | 36.4 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | -57 | -2.7 | -11.3 | 41.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -4.8 | 59.9 | 50.0 |
| Mason Mitchell | - | 1 | 36.8 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | -109 | -5.0 | -17.1 | 41.7 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 1.86 | 58.1 | 54.2 |
| Tyson Henderson | - | 1 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | -46 | -2.7 | -94.6 | 83.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.11 | 90.2 | 83.3 |
| Jabril Robinson | - | 16 | 24.1 | 13.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 10.3 | 8.6 | 97 | 5.4 | 43.6 | 49.7 | 48.7 | 81.8 | 1.46 | 63.0 | 61.2 |
| Ray Zamloot | - | 1 | 26.5 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 62 | 3.4 | 11.8 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 2.13 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| Ethan Ward | - | 1 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 70.9 | 66.7 |
| Keishawn Pulley Jr. | - | 18 | 24.9 | 10.4 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 6.9 | 10.1 | 148 | 7.4 | 38.8 | 48.4 | 40.7 | 88.9 | 3.36 | 66.9 | 62.5 |
| Jackson Sellars | - | 1 | 39.3 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -33 | -1.6 | -5.8 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 2.55 | 49.0 | 37.5 |
| Kosta Radulovic | - | 1 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 40 | 2.2 | 14.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 66.7 | -1.3 | 68.3 | 66.7 |
| Zyir Baskerville | - | 1 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 50.0 | 71.4 | - | 49.6 | 35.7 |
| Theo Antinori | - | 18 | 20.6 | 9.9 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 6.6 | 8.3 | 110 | 5.5 | 31.6 | 52.1 | 45.5 | 83.3 | 0.99 | 67.7 | 64.7 |
| Caleb Gillus | - | 1 | 26.4 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 18 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 80.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.05 | 90.0 | 90.0 |
| Malcolm Hodges | - | 18 | 19.6 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 6.7 | 7.5 | 155 | 7.8 | 55.2 | 61.2 | 0 | 40.0 | 4.62 | 60.3 | 61.2 |
| Liam Joyce | - | 18 | 17.2 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 10.2 | 98 | 4.9 | 42.6 | 77.8 | 0 | 57.6 | -0.26 | 75.9 | 77.8 |
| Ty Showalter | - | 1 | 4.2 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -17 | -1.2 | -14.5 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.01 | 103.1 | 100.0 |
| Aidan Mess | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 22 | 1.2 | 7.7 | 42.9 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.4 | 50.8 | 42.9 |
| Delani Hammonds | - | 16 | 23.4 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.6 | 10.2 | 160 | 8.9 | 41.5 | 46.1 | 33.3 | 65.2 | 6.36 | 56.8 | 52.8 |
| Amr Areikat | - | 18 | 15.1 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 66 | 3.3 | 31.5 | 53.3 | 39.5 | 77.4 | 3.46 | 65.8 | 62.5 |
| Tyler Stephens | - | 1 | 29.7 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 9 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 4.72 | 55.4 | 60.0 |
| Nate Williams | - | 1 | 25.3 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 17 | 1.7 | 17.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 1.6 | 56.5 | 62.5 |
| Reece Craft | - | 1 | 18.9 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 43 | 2.4 | 11.6 | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Ryan MacKinnon | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 77.3 | 83.3 |
| Zach Skogen | - | 1 | 32.2 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | -12 | -0.5 | -2.9 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.21 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Lorenzo Carrara | - | 1 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 20 | 1.1 | 7.2 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.98 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Terrell Fitzgerald | - | 1 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -45 | -2.5 | -52.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.19 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jason Ofcarcik | - | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 51.5 | 66.7 |
| Oliver Jones | - | 9 | 9.9 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 4 | 0.4 | 4.6 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.07 | 56.5 | 55.6 |
| Theartis Battle | - | 17 | 12.0 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 5.3 | 13 | 0.7 | 10.1 | 55.8 | 27.8 | 0 | 0.89 | 61.6 | 61.6 |
| Brady Lam | - | 15 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 39 | 2.4 | 64.1 | 41.2 | 22.2 | 77.8 | 1.97 | 54.9 | 47.1 |
| Jack Loyd | - | 14 | 7.3 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 40 | 2.9 | 60.5 | 35.9 | 32.4 | 100.0 | 1.61 | 52.7 | 50.0 |
| Josh Seiler | - | 1 | 9.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -69 | -3.6 | -32.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -2.0 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Bryce Scott | - | 13 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 12 | 1.0 | 14.3 | 83.3 | 0 | 33.3 | 1.83 | 80.2 | 83.3 |
| Malachi Briscoe | - | 1 | 21.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.69 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| James Carswell | - | 12 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 55 | 5.5 | 44.6 | 53.3 | 53.8 | 0 | 1.3 | 76.7 | 76.7 |
| Joe Bachman | - | 6 | 7.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 22 | 3.1 | 19.5 | 42.9 | 0 | 71.4 | 0.21 | 54.6 | 42.9 |
| Doran Clausell | - | 11 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 31 | 2.8 | 33.3 | 46.7 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 0.54 | 49.8 | 46.7 |
| Milyan Smith-Walker | - | 1 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Daniel Keogh | - | 11 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 26 | 2.4 | 93.7 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | -0.67 | 31.7 | 35.7 |
| Josh Lewis | - | 1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -43 | -4.3 | -114.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Ramazani | - | 1 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -0.7 | -7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Grospe | - | 1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.32 | 0 | 0 |
| Dom Neverbickas | - | 1 | 15.3 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 10 | 1.1 | 15.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.43 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Vule Sukovic | - | 1 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 18 | 2.6 | 63.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.69 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Sprague | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG