Wilkes
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1044 (#196) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1085 (#173) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1077 (#124) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.5 (#114) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.2 (#317) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.742 (#324) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.599 (#318) | AdjNet +3.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.590 (#318) | AdjNet +3.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.542 (#326) | AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 71.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.628 (#175) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 70.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.602 (#310) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.617 (#304) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1144 (#111) | RD 96 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Rowan | W | 86 - 77 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | King's (PA) | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Keystone | W | 97 - 65 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Lycoming | W | 74 - 67 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Moravian | L | 91 - 93 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Susquehanna | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Catholic | L | 79 - 91 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Arcadia | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Gettysburg | W | 74 - 68 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Roanoke | L | 54 - 81 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Muhlenberg | L | 59 - 74 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Juniata | W | 67 - 43 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Elizabethtown | W | 87 - 69 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Drew | L | 87 - 98 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Goucher | W | 70 - 56 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Scranton | W | 75 - 45 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Moravian | W | 86 - 73 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Lycoming | L | 55 - 72 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Catholic | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Susquehanna | L | 86 - 90 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Juniata | W | 91 - 79 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Lesko | - | 18 | 32.3 | 17.9 | 7.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 14.6 | 13.1 | 21 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 43.7 | 29.3 | 81.0 | 0.49 | 53.7 | 48.3 |
| Eli Becker | - | 21 | 30.1 | 14.3 | 6.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 9.8 | 11.4 | 59 | 3.0 | 12.7 | 56.3 | 42.9 | 78.1 | -0.29 | 64.1 | 60.7 |
| Colin Ackerman | - | 21 | 30.4 | 13.0 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 9.3 | 11.9 | 62 | 3.1 | 13.8 | 47.4 | 34.8 | 78.3 | 0.89 | 58.9 | 53.3 |
| Daniel Santaniello | - | 21 | 31.0 | 13.0 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 8.7 | 7.8 | 53 | 2.6 | 11.4 | 42.1 | 31.5 | 82.5 | -0.57 | 59.8 | 51.4 |
| Jack Argento | - | 21 | 34.1 | 12.2 | 6.5 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 8.6 | 12.3 | 102 | 5.1 | 19.6 | 51.1 | 29.6 | 67.0 | 3.21 | 57.7 | 53.3 |
| Antonio Brittain | - | 18 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 2.6 | -7 | -0.4 | -35.3 | 51.4 | 0.0 | 55.0 | 0.87 | 53.5 | 51.4 |
| Mason Fedor | - | 21 | 11.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 53 | 2.6 | 39.7 | 47.8 | 29.4 | 53.3 | 0.24 | 54.2 | 53.3 |
| Matt Remias | - | 6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 62.8 | 50.0 |
| Issac Thomas | - | 13 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 30 | 2.3 | 56.7 | 32.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0.23 | 38.0 | 38.0 |
| Jake Sniras | - | 5 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 | 27.1 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.68 | 33.8 | 25.0 |
| Brendan Styer | - | 21 | 15.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 25 | 1.2 | 10.9 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.2 | 34.5 | 30.8 |
| Brian Britton | - | 10 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | -1 | -0.1 | -8.0 | 23.1 | 9.1 | 50.0 | -0.05 | 28.8 | 26.9 |
| Travis Linn | - | 18 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -20 | -1.2 | -50.2 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 37.5 | -3.17 | 24.3 | 20.0 |
| Drew Sechleer | - | 9 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | -11 | -1.2 | -40.2 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.13 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ethan Sheffey | - | 5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | -0.4 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG