Montclair St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1320 (#4) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1358 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1294 (#2) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.2 (#19) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.7 (#211) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.816 (#285) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.793 (#24) | NetEff +12.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.769 (#247) | AdjNet +10.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.730 (#263) | AdjNet +8.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.663 (#251) | AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 79.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.808 (#24) | AdjO 93.2 | AdjD 77.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.830 (#70) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.839 (#51) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1429 (#1) | RD 116 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Dickinson | W | 97 - 63 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 75 - 73 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Alvernia | W | 93 - 91 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Gettysburg | W | 84 - 65 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Rowan | W | 100 - 86 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Wm. Paterson | W | 102 - 75 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Rutgers-Newark | W | 87 - 74 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Ramapo | W | 95 - 72 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | W | 89 - 63 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | SUNY Maritime | W | 97 - 84 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Saint Joseph (CT) | W | 92 - 87 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Albertus Magnus | W | 100 - 89 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | New Jersey City | W | 97 - 70 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Stockton | W | 94 - 92 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | TCNJ | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Kean | W | 106 - 94 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Rowan | W | 99 - 87 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | W | 85 - 61 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Wm. Paterson | W | 96 - 82 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | W | 84 - 58 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Ramapo | W | 103 - 75 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Stockton | W | 104 - 73 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Morales | - | 21 | 28.0 | 18.0 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 13.9 | 13.1 | 122 | 5.8 | 51.0 | 47.9 | 39.5 | 79.1 | 0.76 | 60.8 | 58.9 |
| Kabrien Goss | - | 19 | 26.7 | 14.1 | 2.7 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 10.5 | 11.2 | 172 | 8.2 | 69.4 | 46.0 | 45.2 | 84.4 | 4.47 | 62.6 | 60.2 |
| Chris Henderson | - | 1 | 30.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 104 | 5.8 | 39.6 | 40.0 | 16.7 | 100.0 | 0.52 | 45.3 | 43.3 |
| Justin Leddo | - | 1 | 28.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | -39 | -2.3 | -43.4 | 50.0 | 20.0 | 0 | -1.76 | 54.2 | 54.2 |
| Christian Nicholson | - | 19 | 30.1 | 12.3 | 2.8 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 8.6 | 11.4 | 98 | 12.2 | 54.9 | 50.0 | 52.7 | 77.4 | 2.14 | 62.5 | 58.8 |
| David Reed IV | - | 1 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | -29 | -1.6 | -21.3 | 71.4 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.38 | 60.1 | 71.4 |
| Ahmad Robertson | - | 19 | 18.6 | 9.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 6.1 | 9.3 | 189 | 9.4 | 109.8 | 55.7 | 50.0 | 83.0 | 1.63 | 68.5 | 63.9 |
| Myles Primas | - | 21 | 21.6 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 9.5 | 141 | 6.7 | 64.2 | 59.4 | 35.5 | 63.3 | 2.32 | 65.1 | 63.7 |
| Antwone George | - | 1 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 5.5 | 75.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 2.64 | 78.1 | 75.0 |
| Kunga Tsering | - | 16 | 10.2 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 6.9 | 74 | 4.4 | 71.9 | 70.5 | 50.0 | 78.7 | 1.38 | 77.7 | 73.8 |
| Ryan Cassels | - | 19 | 14.1 | 7.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 69 | 3.3 | 30.9 | 45.0 | 45.1 | 60.0 | -0.33 | 63.8 | 63.8 |
| Christian Cevis | - | 18 | 16.9 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 6.1 | - | - | - | 42.3 | 28.1 | 61.1 | - | 52.4 | 48.6 |
| Mason Thear | - | 19 | 11.8 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 51 | 2.4 | 30.3 | 48.4 | 37.5 | 70.6 | -2.06 | 58.3 | 55.6 |
| Kevin Beck | - | 21 | 9.7 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 42 | 2.1 | 37.6 | 49.2 | 32.0 | 60.0 | -1.72 | 56.4 | 55.6 |
| Andrew Martin | - | 21 | 9.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 39 | 1.9 | 27.8 | 55.8 | 25.0 | 54.5 | 1.26 | 59.6 | 59.3 |
| Bryan Yu | - | 8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | -9 | -1.5 | -163.6 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Ty Carnegie | - | 13 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | -0.2 | -23 | -2.3 | -63.2 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -1.9 | 48.1 | 35.7 |
| Edryn Morales | - | 12 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | -0.2 | -22 | -2.4 | -59.2 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -1.62 | 33.6 | 35.7 |
| Chris Dukes | - | 6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -9 | -2.2 | -130.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Shane Ryan | - | 5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -0.4 | -10 | -1.0 | -25.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaden Butler | - | 5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -0.4 | -12 | -4.0 | -136.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Maurice Davis | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | 42 | 2.1 | 25.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Elija Eccleston | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayson Fain | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26 | 2.6 | 266.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.38 | 0 | 0 |
| Mason Pulliam | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kyle Rhoden | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG