Ursinus Bears
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 1050 (#174) | - |
| Margin Recency | -0.1 (#352) | HCA +3.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.607 (#206) | AdjO 80.6 | AdjD 75.9 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.568 (#341) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.583 (#332) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.442 (#374) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 1104 (#166) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Elmira | W | 84 - 65 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Marietta | L | 97 - 100 |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Albright | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Widener | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Goucher | L | 72 - 76 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | FDU-Florham | W | 93 - 77 |
| 2025-12-08 | vs | Rosemont | W | 87 - 56 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Scranton | L | 77 - 89 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | York (PA) | W | 80 - 70 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Hunter | W | 86 - 34 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Moravian | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Elizabethtown | L | 76 - 95 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Washington Col. | W | 95 - 87 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Haverford | W | 94 - 66 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Gettysburg | L | 74 - 80 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Muhlenberg | W | 87 - 72 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | McDaniel | W | 79 - 52 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Swarthmore | W | 82 - 73 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Dickinson | L | 70 - 72 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | W | 72 - 69 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Johns Hopkins | L | 78 - 84 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles, with four dividers separating the position buckets.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ursinus | - | 1 | 200.0 | 75.0 | 45.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 69.0 | 62.0 | - | - | - | 39.1 | 20.0 | 65.2 | - | 47.4 | 43.5 |
| Jamie Murphy | - | 1 | 28.3 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 53.8 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 61.0 | 53.8 |
| Porter Kelly | - | 1 | 23.1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 59.5 | 50.0 |
| Mohamed Toure | - | 1 | 28.3 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | -6.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 14.3 | 0.0 | - | 35.6 | 36.7 |
| Tomas Belaiter | - | 1 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 58.9 | 60.0 |
| Matthew Field | - | 1 | 23.6 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 73.5 | 70.0 |
| Luke Nieman | - | 1 | 22.4 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 39.4 | 31.2 |
| Jasper Buck | - | 1 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Trevor Toulson | - | 1 | 16.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Nick Nocito | - | 1 | 23.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 6.8 | 0.0 |
| TEAM | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG