🐻⬇️🏀

McDaniel

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: McDaniel
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1131 (#69) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1132 (#90) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1019 (#301) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -9.7 (#253) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -11.9 (#559) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.550 (#434) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.3 More → 0.254 (#487) AdjNet -9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.6 More → 0.246 (#488) AdjNet -9.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.341 (#491) AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 70.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 68.1 More → 0.379 (#598) AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 68.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.357 (#535) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.366 (#534) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 21 More → 1066 (#257) RD 98 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-11 vs Central Penn W 84 - 55
2025-11-14 vs Ramapo W 60 - 58
2025-11-16 vs Hood L 59 - 75
2025-11-18 vs Penn St.-Berks W 91 - 69
2025-11-22 vs Delaware Valley W 71 - 65
2025-11-25 vs Penn St.-Altoona L 55 - 62
2025-12-03 @ Messiah W 70 - 67
2025-12-17 @ Cairn W 80 - 76
2025-12-28 vs Gwynedd Mercy W 61 - 60
2025-12-29 @ Baruch W 68 - 63
2026-01-05 @ Immaculata W 78 - 70
2026-01-10 vs Franklin & Marshall L 59 - 78
2026-01-14 @ Dickinson W 66 - 49
2026-01-17 vs Swarthmore L 46 - 55
2026-01-19 @ Christendom W 52 - 39
2026-01-21 vs Johns Hopkins L 43 - 83
2026-01-24 @ Ursinus L 52 - 79
2026-01-28 vs Gettysburg L 64 - 77
2026-01-31 @ Franklin & Marshall L 55 - 64
2026-02-04 vs Washington Col. W 65 - 60
2026-02-07 vs Haverford W 80 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ronald Ayers - 1 37.9 30.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 21.0 15.0 207 11.5 69.3 47.6 20.0 100.0 3.38 60.1 50.0
Jaylon Simpson - 1 37.9 30.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 21.0 15.0 201 8.7 66.7 47.6 20.0 100.0 1.39 60.1 50.0
David Kearney - 20 32.2 16.6 7.0 1.3 1.8 1.1 1.9 12.6 13.4 9 0.5 1.9 49.2 31.4 69.2 -0.09 57.0 53.6
Ashenafi Stuart - 20 33.5 11.8 3.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 1.8 10.7 4.3 -33 -1.6 -7.3 37.6 32.8 84.4 0.09 50.7 46.5
Bruce Black - 20 24.4 11.4 4.3 1.4 0.8 0.2 2.4 7.3 8.4 35 1.7 11.0 47.3 36.7 70.5 1.21 58.4 51.0
Matt Kearney - 19 18.9 7.5 3.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 1.3 4.7 5.9 -59 -3.1 -19.8 47.2 35.7 82.8 -2.33 60.6 50.0
Ryan Shaffer - 20 27.9 7.3 5.7 1.4 0.9 0.5 1.6 6.3 8.0 -4 -0.2 -1.1 46.8 38.0 50.0 0.64 54.5 54.4
Byron Gaskins - 1 29.1 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 9 0.4 4.5 28.6 0.0 75.0 2.18 40.0 28.6
Andre Burrell Jr - 1 28.3 4.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Chris Hill - 1 17.1 3.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 142 10.1 218.3 50.0 0.0 50.0 -0.69 52.1 50.0
Jonathan Desir - 1 17.1 3.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 127 7.9 192.7 50.0 0.0 50.0 2.08 52.1 50.0
Liam Carey - 1 3.1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -4 -0.5 -14.5 100.0 100.0 0 -0.76 150.0 150.0
Kaydin Ford - 10 9.6 3.0 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 1.9 1.6 -11 -1.2 -237.8 47.4 33.3 64.3 -0.59 59.6 55.3
Dallas George - 20 15.8 2.8 1.9 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.7 1.8 4.2 -2 -0.1 -1.1 50.0 38.5 78.9 -0.75 63.1 56.9
Mikey Ayala Jr. - 18 28.0 2.2 1.6 1.9 0.5 0.0 1.1 2.3 2.7 -60 -3.3 -17.5 33.3 20.0 61.5 -1.21 40.9 36.9
Cole Riley - 8 8.1 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 2.1 0.5 28 3.5 66.7 29.4 36.4 0 -0.0 41.2 41.2
Rece Bowser - 13 7.2 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.8 -15 -1.2 -25.6 26.1 23.5 100.0 -1.0 40.4 34.8
Anthony Hall - 8 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.0 -1 -0.1 -14.3 57.1 66.7 100.0 0.03 73.9 71.4
Drew Colman - 17 6.0 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 31 1.7 46.1 26.7 14.3 57.1 -1.2 36.0 30.0
Kevin Connelly - 8 4.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 -16 -2.3 -113.6 33.3 100.0 0 -1.17 41.7 41.7
Pete Hagen - 1 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kevin Sanon - 4 1.4 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -8 -2.0 -349.1 0 0 0 -0.63 0 0
Joseph Ching - 2 3.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG