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Goucher

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Goucher
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 896 (#537) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 875 (#525) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 807 (#752) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -9.9 (#254) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -15.2 (#616) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.165 (#698) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.9 More → 0.112 (#627) AdjNet -17.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.2 More → 0.107 (#629) AdjNet -18.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 78.4 More → 0.230 (#625) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 78.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 74.8 More → 0.288 (#683) AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 74.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.205 (#654) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.207 (#668) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 108 | GP 21 More → 769 (#582) RD 108 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Stevenson L 69 - 75
2025-11-14 @ Neumann L 59 - 73
2025-11-19 vs Catholic L 56 - 62
2025-11-22 @ Scranton L 60 - 83
2025-11-25 vs Ursinus W 76 - 72
2025-12-03 @ Lycoming W 72 - 56
2025-12-06 vs Elizabethtown L 63 - 64
2025-12-09 @ Gallaudet L 62 - 66
2025-12-12 vs St. Mary's (MD) L 63 - 68
2025-12-29 vs Notre Dame (MD) W 103 - 75
2025-12-31 vs Haverford W 62 - 60
2026-01-07 @ Drew L 70 - 97
2026-01-11 @ Juniata L 66 - 79
2026-01-14 vs Moravian L 72 - 77
2026-01-17 vs Wilkes L 56 - 70
2026-01-21 @ Susquehanna L 64 - 77
2026-01-24 vs Scranton L 71 - 74
2026-01-28 @ Catholic L 51 - 95
2026-01-31 @ Elizabethtown L 65 - 81
2026-02-04 vs Lycoming L 61 - 69
2026-02-07 vs Drew L 69 - 99

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alex Ortman - 1 27.0 21.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 14.0 -83 -6.4 -37.6 72.7 100.0 57.1 -2.03 74.6 77.3
Jory Valencia - 1 36.0 15.0 3.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 24.0 -71 -6.5 -26.8 85.7 100.0 50.0 -0.26 85.6 92.9
Liech Kong - 19 28.9 12.5 6.2 1.3 0.6 0.9 2.9 9.3 9.3 -139 -7.3 -25.2 50.8 33.8 68.6 -3.0 59.7 57.3
Darnell Morris - 20 29.7 12.3 4.2 1.8 1.1 0.4 3.0 11.1 5.7 -62 -3.1 -12.1 39.6 31.5 63.2 -0.64 49.8 47.3
Jadyss Fifer - 20 22.9 11.3 4.5 0.6 0.8 0.4 2.5 9.5 5.6 -33 -1.6 -8.1 44.2 35.8 61.8 0.45 55.4 54.2
Brian Griffin - 20 26.0 7.5 2.1 2.5 0.8 0.2 2.6 7.2 3.4 -79 -4.0 -19.4 35.7 34.5 90.6 0.27 48.1 42.7
Avree Harris - 20 22.6 6.0 2.7 1.2 0.8 0.1 1.6 5.3 3.8 -43 -2.1 -14.2 45.8 14.3 52.9 -0.66 48.8 47.2
Jack Murdaugh - 20 16.2 5.1 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.6 4.0 3.2 -29 -1.4 -13.0 43.0 45.1 78.6 1.45 59.9 57.6
Nabhi Abbushi Jr. - 1 26.0 4.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 -69 -23.0 -247.5 16.7 0.0 50.0 0.07 25.8 16.7
Austin Carter - 14 15.2 3.7 2.1 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.4 4.4 1.4 -9 -0.6 -6.5 27.9 27.3 69.2 0.76 39.0 35.2
Chima Egeonu - 20 17.1 3.6 4.3 0.2 0.4 1.1 0.9 2.5 6.2 -88 -4.4 -23.3 51.0 0 58.3 -0.98 54.6 51.0
JP Prior - 5 4.2 3.4 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 3.0 1 0.2 8.1 62.5 0.0 87.5 0.36 73.8 62.5
Jon Perry - 16 7.9 2.2 2.8 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.1 -29 -1.8 -92.7 34.3 42.9 57.1 -1.88 42.5 38.6
Timi Akisanya - 2 3.6 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -4 -2.0 -62.7 50.0 0 0 -0.2 50.0 50.0
Lucas Allen - 11 5.0 1.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.8 -5 -0.5 -16.9 60.0 25.0 46.2 -1.13 60.4 65.0
Julian Sabbat - 11 7.8 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.9 0.7 -9 -0.9 -9.5 28.6 25.0 50.0 -1.62 38.8 38.1
Nemo Johnson - 6 4.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.2 -2 -0.4 -4.4 50.0 0 0 -0.44 50.0 50.0
Foncham Ambe - 9 3.5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.3 -13 -1.4 -124.3 25.0 0 25.0 -0.22 25.6 25.0
Kofi Mensah - 7 2.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 0 0.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 50.0 -0.37 34.7 25.0
Langston Davis - 16 10.1 0.5 2.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.9 0.8 1.4 -34 -2.3 -13.4 16.7 0.0 28.6 -2.21 22.0 16.7
Lucas Land - 10 4.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.2 -6 -0.7 -15.7 20.0 20.0 0 -0.09 25.0 25.0
Preston Leumegni - 1 1.2 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Wyatt Carlson - 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2 -0.2 -1.7 0 0 0 -1.29 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG