Brevard
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 921 (#507) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 894 (#503) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 890 (#687) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.5 (#318) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.9 (#637) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.376 (#548) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.120 (#617) | AdjNet -17.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.117 (#616) | AdjNet -17.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.243 (#596) | AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 82.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.283 (#687) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 81.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.187 (#672) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.200 (#674) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 820 (#547) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Oglethorpe | W | 93 - 72 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | LaGrange | L | 87 - 92 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Warren Wilson | L | 73 - 85 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Bob Jones | L | 85 - 92 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Warren Wilson | W | 86 - 84 |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Piedmont | W | 81 - 77 |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Bob Jones | W | 100 - 86 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Gardner-Webb | L | 63 - 77 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | JWU Charlotte | W | 98 - 94 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Sewanee | L | 75 - 86 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Oglethorpe | W | 79 - 76 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Mary Baldwin | L | 84 - 89 |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Southern Va. | L | 69 - 89 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Methodist | L | 56 - 58 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 60 - 101 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Pfeiffer | L | 71 - 80 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | William Peace | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | JWU Charlotte | W | 78 - 74 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Southern Va. | L | 81 - 96 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Mary Baldwin | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Greensboro | L | 90 - 96 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Methodist | W | 85 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadon Carnes | - | 22 | 34.1 | 16.3 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 10.8 | 13.5 | -67 | -3.0 | -14.1 | 56.3 | 40.2 | 88.7 | 2.91 | 67.5 | 63.7 |
| Twain Wilson | - | 19 | 30.1 | 16.0 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 11.7 | 8.9 | 8 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 48.2 | 34.7 | 74.6 | -0.21 | 60.9 | 57.9 |
| KK Horton | - | 21 | 31.1 | 11.5 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 9.6 | 8.9 | -62 | -2.8 | -14.7 | 47.0 | 31.2 | 60.8 | -2.01 | 53.7 | 52.0 |
| Malachi McLean | - | 15 | 14.3 | 9.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 2.0 | -8 | -0.6 | -11.0 | 45.9 | 39.3 | 100.0 | -0.14 | 60.1 | 56.8 |
| Tyler Baldwin | - | 21 | 18.2 | 8.9 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 7.0 | 5.8 | 45 | 2.4 | 21.1 | 41.5 | 36.6 | 71.8 | -0.22 | 57.0 | 54.1 |
| Dre'Shaun Brown | - | 21 | 29.8 | 7.1 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 6.0 | 10.4 | 33 | 1.6 | 7.7 | 52.0 | 40.0 | 46.4 | 0.15 | 54.3 | 54.4 |
| Brock McKnight | - | 21 | 27.0 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 5.2 | -30 | -1.4 | -7.3 | 47.7 | 44.6 | 78.6 | -1.55 | 63.7 | 61.9 |
| Khalil Black | - | 19 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 3.7 | 3.7 | -7 | -0.4 | -6.5 | 50.0 | 29.2 | 75.9 | -0.23 | 59.8 | 55.0 |
| Caleb Duncan | - | 15 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 10 | 0.8 | 11.0 | 46.2 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0.34 | 50.6 | 51.9 |
| Zane Caudle | - | 17 | 8.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.6 | -18 | -1.1 | -19.7 | 38.1 | 37.5 | 88.9 | -0.94 | 60.1 | 52.4 |
| Noah Osuji | - | 18 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 15.4 | -2.98 | 43.3 | 50.0 |
| Ryder Block | - | 12 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 47.0 | 46.4 |
| Jordyne Sutherland | - | 4 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | -1 | -0.3 | -25.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 0.15 | 106.4 | 150.0 |
| LeCedric Brown | - | 5 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 4 | 1.0 | 42.5 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.49 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Blake Walker | - | 5 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.5 | 51.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.15 | 14.5 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG