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Coast Guard Bears

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Coast Guard
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 849 (#580) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 874 (#526) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1035 (#228) HCA +56 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 906 (#666) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -15.9 (#321) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +21.1 (#114) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -11.5 (#553) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.289 (#606) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.2 More → 0.216 (#525) AdjNet -11.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.5 More → 0.207 (#527) AdjNet -11.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 81.1 More → 0.317 (#520) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 81.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 75.9 More → 0.471 (#474) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 75.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 80.9 More → 0.347 (#631) AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 80.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.679 (#231) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.265 (#610) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.677 (#226) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.275 (#613) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 21 More → 897 (#489) RD 100 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-12 vs Roger Williams W 91 - 87
2025-11-19 vs Sarah Lawrence W 80 - 67
2025-11-21 @ CCNY W 84 - 74
2025-11-22 vs Westfield St. L 79 - 85
2025-12-03 vs Emerson L 71 - 96
2025-12-06 @ Merchant Marine W 66 - 57
2025-12-10 @ Springfield L 73 - 80
2025-12-18 @ Saint Joseph (CT) L 59 - 83
2025-12-29 @ Guilford L 84 - 116
2025-12-30 @ Skidmore L 71 - 83
2026-01-07 vs Wheaton (MA) L 75 - 81
2026-01-10 vs Babson L 41 - 89
2026-01-13 @ Clark (MA) L 75 - 83
2026-01-15 vs WPI L 53 - 69
2026-01-17 @ Salve Regina L 69 - 94
2026-01-22 vs MIT W 87 - 80
2026-01-24 @ Emerson W 85 - 77
2026-01-28 @ Wheaton (MA) L 63 - 78
2026-01-31 vs Springfield L 81 - 93
2026-02-04 @ Babson L 70 - 86
2026-02-07 vs Clark (MA) W 81 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Aliaun Iscandari - 1 35.4 33.0 5.0 6.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 26.0 26.0 20 1.0 4.8 46.2 53.8 100.0 -0.81 61.4 59.6
Gabe Proctor - 1 25.2 23.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 17.0 14.0 154 7.3 52.4 47.1 40.0 50.0 2.72 64.3 64.7
Isaac Dobie - 1 31.6 23.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 19.0 11.0 -58 -3.6 -17.9 42.1 25.0 80.0 -1.9 54.2 50.0
Prince Shyllon - 1 33.8 22.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 19.0 -72 -9.0 -248.3 80.0 75.0 50.0 0.63 87.0 95.0
Sean Seymour - 1 30.0 21.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 18.0 12.0 27 1.4 6.6 55.6 33.3 0.0 1.06 56.9 58.3
Parker Spann - 1 39.1 21.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 13.0 -49 -4.1 -10.2 46.7 50.0 62.5 0.61 56.7 53.3
Timmy Mulvey - 1 34.0 20.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 16.0 10.0 91 5.7 20.8 43.8 41.7 100.0 1.68 60.8 59.4
Ryan Higgins - 1 34.9 20.0 11.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 18.0 36 2.1 8.6 40.0 30.8 80.0 0.23 58.1 53.3
Finn Miller - 1 32.6 20.0 13.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 15.0 18.0 78 4.1 17.3 40.0 100.0 60.0 0.3 51.5 46.7
Joey Skoric - 1 26.3 18.0 13.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 11.0 21.0 -67 -3.2 -16.0 63.6 40.0 50.0 0.66 70.5 72.7
Jack McMullen - 1 34.5 18.0 9.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 27.0 -6 -0.3 -1.7 66.7 66.7 100.0 -0.66 91.1 88.9
Thomas Ferdinando - 1 25.0 17.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 8.0 82 5.1 21.4 45.5 28.6 100.0 -0.99 64.4 54.5
Luke Farrell - 13 26.2 16.2 7.7 1.4 0.8 1.5 2.0 10.9 14.8 -137 -6.8 -38.4 50.7 34.6 73.4 1.9 59.7 53.9
Rival Axselle - 1 18.4 16.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 12.0 46 2.2 17.3 50.0 33.3 60.0 -0.13 56.3 54.2
Boluwasefe John - 1 18.4 16.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 11.0 15 0.8 4.5 85.7 0 57.1 1.51 79.4 85.7
Linus Helmhold - 1 33.1 16.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 19.0 -23 -1.3 -7.5 75.0 0 90.9 -1.1 90.5 75.0
Aidan Roy - 1 33.4 15.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 7.0 -51 -2.8 -14.2 41.7 0.0 83.3 -1.09 51.2 41.7
Philip Sughrue - 1 35.4 14.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 15.0 75 3.9 23.4 41.7 33.3 100.0 0.99 54.3 50.0
Elijah Parent - 12 31.4 13.1 3.4 2.2 1.0 0.1 1.8 12.6 5.4 -129 -6.8 -33.0 38.4 37.5 81.0 0.03 49.0 46.4
Pat Spenard - 1 33.1 13.0 9.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 20.0 -14 -0.7 -3.3 55.6 0.0 60.0 0.57 58.0 55.6
Shay Roban - 1 22.2 13.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 2.0 -43 -2.4 -24.5 41.7 37.5 0 -0.07 54.2 54.2
Trevor Parks - 13 27.2 12.2 4.1 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.4 9.6 9.0 -139 -7.0 -39.6 39.2 39.7 78.9 -4.5 59.6 57.6
Magnus Swinger - 1 12.1 12.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 60 3.2 80.4 60.0 66.7 80.0 0.72 83.3 80.0
Zavier Francoeur - 1 32.1 12.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 7.0 -20 -1.1 -6.8 44.4 33.3 75.0 2.16 55.8 50.0
Timmy O'Toole - 1 26.0 12.0 12.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 9.0 27.0 107 6.7 37.1 55.6 0.0 100.0 4.85 60.7 55.6
Colin Huang - 6 27.7 11.7 6.0 3.0 0.8 0.0 1.7 7.7 12.2 -54 -9.0 -57.1 39.1 26.3 85.3 0.19 57.4 44.6
Reid Neumann - 1 35.2 11.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 7.0 15 0.8 3.0 28.6 23.1 0 2.24 39.3 39.3
Guillermo Gasset Ruiz - 1 30.5 11.0 12.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 7.0 19.0 -123 -6.5 -37.0 57.1 50.0 50.0 -1.15 69.8 71.4
Tyler Lauder - 1 26.0 11.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 2.0 84 5.2 25.8 55.6 0 50.0 4.48 55.7 55.6
Kody Clayton - 1 19.0 10.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 14.0 136 6.5 47.9 66.7 0 50.0 2.16 64.4 66.7
Dawson Edwards - 1 22.8 10.0 8.0 5.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 21.0 100 4.8 27.8 37.5 25.0 37.5 1.29 43.4 43.8
Quentin Pridgen - 1 27.8 10.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 14.0 38 2.0 7.8 33.3 33.3 87.5 1.36 76.7 50.0
Nick Padilla - 1 16.5 9.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 14 0.8 5.5 57.1 0.0 100.0 0.21 60.5 57.1
Samuel Chen - 1 21.9 9.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 10.0 -19 -1.5 -5.6 60.0 66.7 50.0 -0.05 76.5 80.0
Henry Marshall - 1 16.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 -74 -6.7 -109.0 60.0 60.0 0 -4.75 90.0 90.0
Jacob Armant - 1 31.7 9.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 0.0 -98 -5.2 -25.9 25.0 20.0 100.0 0.77 34.9 29.2
Ryan Hammarlund - 1 24.0 9.0 3.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 12.0 45 2.5 14.1 37.5 25.0 66.7 1.29 48.3 43.8
Jordan Frazer - 12 25.1 8.8 4.3 1.6 1.2 0.5 2.2 8.0 6.2 -105 -5.5 -35.2 34.4 36.6 80.6 0.59 48.3 42.2
Enzo Geremski - 1 12.3 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 79 4.2 91.7 40.0 100.0 60.0 1.32 55.6 50.0
William Mensah - 1 13.7 8.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 8.0 1 0.1 0.3 75.0 0 100.0 0.68 82.0 75.0
Hank Gramlich - 1 6.4 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 -6 -0.4 -4.3 75.0 66.7 0 -0.21 100.0 100.0
Kyle Squires - 1 24.5 7.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 5.0 58 2.9 13.6 40.0 33.3 100.0 3.27 59.5 50.0
Asher Hercek - 1 24.5 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 -24 -1.7 -19.6 33.3 25.0 100.0 -1.35 50.9 41.7
Reynolds Escher - 1 12.8 6.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 69 3.3 38.8 50.0 0.0 0 -0.71 50.0 50.0
Charlie Weisberg - 1 10.2 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 39 1.9 30.0 66.7 66.7 0 0.99 100.0 100.0
Rome Delgado-Gonzalez - 1 40.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 3.0 -21 -1.2 -3.7 20.0 22.2 0 2.27 30.0 30.0
Merlin Gogolin - 1 18.5 6.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 14.0 -33 -1.8 -12.2 100.0 0 0 1.77 100.0 100.0
Brendan Taylor - 1 8.1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -39 -3.0 -25.1 33.3 50.0 100.0 -0.34 64.4 50.0
Logan Murphy - 1 20.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 95 5.9 33.7 25.0 0.0 75.0 -1.19 43.4 25.0
Ty Higgins - 1 21.9 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -1.0 50 2.6 17.5 33.3 20.0 0 2.48 41.7 41.7
Kyle Monahan - 1 4.6 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 -13 -1.3 -56.8 100.0 100.0 0 1.07 125.0 125.0
Jack LaGarde - 1 10.7 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 85 4.0 23.8 50.0 0 0 1.83 50.0 50.0
Malik Matanmi - 1 21.6 4.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 6 0.3 2.3 33.3 0 0.0 -0.23 22.0 33.3
Wyatt Mowery - 1 22.7 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 -1.0 -59 -3.3 -14.0 16.7 0.0 100.0 -1.97 29.1 16.7
Asher Gardiner - 1 6.4 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -86 -4.5 -63.7 100.0 0 0 -2.22 100.0 100.0
Roman Leraris - 1 6.4 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 -19 -1.4 -56.2 50.0 0.0 0 -0.23 50.0 50.0
Giulio Volonte - 1 9.6 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 4 0.2 3.2 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.45 51.5 33.3
Ryan Jaworski - 1 1.9 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 15 1.5 106.5 100.0 0 50.0 -0.27 79.8 100.0
Jalen Walker - 1 2.4 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 -23 -3.3 -32.4 0 0 75.0 2.6 85.2 0
Max Purushothaman - 1 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 7 1.8 730.4 100.0 0 50.0 -0.03 79.8 100.0
Joey Dwyer - 1 6.2 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 37 2.2 19.3 100.0 100.0 0 0.09 150.0 150.0
Aiden Dabbondanza - 12 19.7 2.9 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.4 1.4 4.0 1.1 -155 -8.2 -74.4 29.2 11.1 38.5 -1.12 32.6 31.2
Christian Rodgers - 13 16.2 2.2 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.9 1.5 4.9 -42 -2.8 -115.1 52.6 40.0 50.0 -1.28 62.2 63.2
Tej Efemini - 1 4.4 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1 0.1 4.6 0.0 0 50.0 -0.75 36.2 0.0
Jackson Fannon - 1 3.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -2.0 9 1.1 67.1 20.0 0.0 0 0.15 20.0 20.0
Charlie Fantom - 1 19.1 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 34 2.1 8.2 33.3 0.0 0 2.38 33.3 33.3
Dillon McCafferty - 1 15.5 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -23 -1.3 -37.1 0.0 0 50.0 1.12 36.2 0.0
Trace Clark - 1 25.8 2.0 4.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 8.0 -47 -3.9 -48.2 14.3 0.0 0 -1.08 14.3 14.3
Woods Windham - 1 10.2 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 -54 -4.9 -27.2 33.3 0 0.0 -1.2 25.8 33.3
Brendan McNamara - 1 34.1 2.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 -79 -4.4 -30.2 16.7 0.0 0 -3.98 16.7 16.7
Vaughn Foster - 1 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5 0.5 24.9 100.0 0 0 -0.29 100.0 100.0
Will Briggs - 11 5.9 1.9 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 0.9 -31 -2.1 -69.7 38.9 33.3 44.4 -0.55 47.8 47.2
Tyler Henderson - 13 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.7 0.8 -46 -2.7 -94.6 27.3 23.5 90.0 -1.11 47.3 36.4
Walker Corbin - 12 9.2 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.8 -42 -2.2 -72.6 33.3 33.3 50.0 2.82 46.9 44.4
Christian Bacon - 1 19.4 1.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Will Ameden - 1 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 16 0.8 8.3 0.0 0 50.0 -0.39 26.6 0.0
Caden Zurek - 1 3.9 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -77 -4.3 -79.5 0 0 50.0 -0.83 56.8 0
Theo Lamb - 1 6.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 7 0.5 10.5 0.0 0 50.0 0.8 17.4 0.0
Landon Francis - 1 13.5 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 20 1.2 18.0 0.0 0.0 0 -2.77 0.0 0.0
Braylen Salters - 1 3.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 22 22.0 104.8 0.0 0 0 -1.76 0.0 0.0
Dimitris Olympios - 1 3.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 16 2.7 176.1 0.0 0 0 0.03 0.0 0.0
Cameron Taylor - 1 3.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 12 2.0 119.5 0.0 0 0 -0.04 0.0 0.0
Christopher Clarke - 1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20 1.1 19.6 0 0 0 0.04 0 0
David Fridia - 1 5.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 -15 -0.9 -18.7 0 0 0 -1.66 0 0
Emmett Hendry - 1 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -17 -1.4 -33.1 0 0 0 -1.16 0 0
Jesse Doherty - 1 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kieran Durkin - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jared Wilkins - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -9 -0.5 -3.6 0.0 0 0 -2.28 0.0 0.0
Sam Concemi - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5 -1.0 -36.3 0 0 0 -1.29 0 0
Jackson O'Brien - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 -0.5 -34.8 0 0 0 -0.38 0 0
Jake Peterson - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -10 -1.1 -36.9 0 0 0 -0.83 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG