Elizabethtown
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1130 (#70) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1153 (#69) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1111 (#78) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.7 (#128) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.1 (#351) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.453 (#499) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.275 (#475) | AdjNet -8.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.265 (#478) | AdjNet -8.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.368 (#466) | AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 81.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.586 (#234) | AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 74.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.589 (#320) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.601 (#319) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1216 (#56) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Messiah | W | 88 - 72 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Rosemont | W | 94 - 65 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Moravian | L | 78 - 79 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Susquehanna | W | 82 - 58 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Lebanon Valley | W | 92 - 89 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Drew | W | 95 - 93 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Goucher | W | 64 - 63 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Shenandoah | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Immaculata | W | 88 - 71 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Ursinus | W | 95 - 76 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Scranton | L | 62 - 74 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Wilkes | L | 69 - 87 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Juniata | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Lycoming | W | 86 - 66 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Catholic | L | 70 - 87 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Susquehanna | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Moravian | L | 77 - 84 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Goucher | W | 81 - 65 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Drew | W | 98 - 93 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Scranton | W | 79 - 72 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Finarelli | - | 21 | 33.8 | 21.6 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 16.2 | 14.9 | 153 | 7.3 | 27.5 | 47.4 | 31.4 | 72.3 | 0.92 | 56.6 | 52.1 |
| Woody Machado | - | 21 | 30.4 | 14.0 | 6.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 10.5 | 12.4 | 140 | 6.1 | 27.2 | 45.5 | 28.6 | 75.5 | 2.35 | 56.1 | 50.5 |
| Zuri Harris | - | 19 | 22.8 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 9.7 | 6.6 | 37 | 1.9 | 12.3 | 42.2 | 36.6 | 65.5 | 2.11 | 54.6 | 53.2 |
| EJ Finney | - | 21 | 30.9 | 9.4 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 7.1 | 11.0 | 95 | 4.5 | 19.3 | 52.7 | 52.9 | 66.0 | 0.26 | 58.0 | 55.7 |
| Anthony Lilly | - | 21 | 19.5 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 96 | 4.6 | 29.4 | 46.2 | 27.6 | 80.0 | 0.95 | 53.1 | 49.6 |
| Reese Ziegler | - | 20 | 24.6 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 5.2 | 6.5 | 92 | 4.6 | 21.7 | 35.0 | 25.4 | 73.3 | -1.36 | 48.9 | 42.2 |
| Ben Stanton | - | 21 | 18.4 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 20 | 1.0 | 6.4 | 36.5 | 31.8 | 78.6 | 2.23 | 51.7 | 49.5 |
| Crew Wells | - | 21 | 11.8 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 24 | 1.1 | 8.9 | 56.8 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 0.49 | 57.8 | 58.0 |
| Brandon Ascione | - | 13 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | -16 | -1.3 | -75.3 | 30.4 | 31.2 | 83.3 | -2.49 | 51.3 | 41.3 |
| Augie Brody | - | 17 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | -3 | -0.2 | -4.3 | 43.8 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -2.53 | 51.8 | 48.4 |
| Rohan Chappali | - | 7 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 16.7 | 50.0 | - | 40.5 | 38.9 |
| Dylan Handley | - | 7 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.6 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Chikezie Emmanuel | - | 6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 54.3 | 0.0 |
| Kaiden Robinson | - | 14 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -19 | -1.5 | -201.8 | 9.1 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0.4 | 19.6 | 13.6 |
| Luis Guzman | - | 7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 41.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG