Haverford
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 958 (#451) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 921 (#460) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 828 (#739) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.4 (#239) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.4 (#588) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.296 (#602) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.103 (#640) | AdjNet -18.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.098 (#641) | AdjNet -18.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.236 (#615) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 81.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.349 (#630) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 75.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.245 (#628) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.248 (#635) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 843 (#530) | RD 97 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Valley Forge | W | 111 - 79 |
| 2025-11-13 | vs | Rosemont | W | 90 - 48 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Misericordia | L | 66 - 79 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Immaculata | W | 88 - 81 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Delaware Valley | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Arcadia | L | 50 - 75 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Neumann | L | 59 - 73 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | W | 83 - 60 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Nichols | L | 77 - 80 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Goucher | L | 60 - 62 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Marywood | W | 110 - 60 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Franklin & Marshall | L | 52 - 76 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Muhlenberg | L | 56 - 64 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Ursinus | L | 66 - 94 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Dickinson | L | 68 - 79 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | L | 59 - 69 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Washington Col. | W | 92 - 74 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Muhlenberg | L | 60 - 63 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Johns Hopkins | L | 58 - 88 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Swarthmore | L | 53 - 63 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | McDaniel | L | 65 - 80 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strong-Jacobson | - | 21 | 22.3 | 12.5 | 8.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 7.6 | 15.7 | -28 | -1.3 | -21.6 | 58.5 | 38.7 | 67.7 | 0.91 | 65.3 | 62.3 |
| Gaven Marr | - | 15 | 20.9 | 9.1 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 8.8 | 4.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 11.3 | 34.1 | 32.8 | 75.8 | 1.05 | 46.4 | 42.0 |
| Christian Uremovich | - | 21 | 19.6 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 6.5 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 53.7 | 0 | 75.9 | - | 56.5 | 53.7 |
| Emmanuel Cheung Hernandez | - | 21 | 14.4 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 21 | 1.0 | 8.4 | 45.4 | 37.5 | 43.9 | 0.69 | 47.1 | 46.5 |
| Tyler Nolan | - | 21 | 18.8 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 7.5 | 3.0 | -7 | -0.3 | -3.1 | 30.4 | 27.5 | 69.2 | -0.19 | 42.2 | 38.3 |
| Carter Warren | - | 21 | 19.0 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 5.8 | 3.5 | -49 | -2.3 | -26.5 | 31.1 | 27.5 | 80.0 | -3.1 | 45.5 | 41.4 |
| Raja Coleman | - | 21 | 20.8 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 31 | 1.6 | 10.8 | 30.6 | 27.6 | 62.2 | 2.87 | 42.8 | 39.1 |
| Niko Rizos | - | 20 | 14.4 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 4.8 | 6.1 | 21 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 45.8 | 11.8 | 52.0 | 0.98 | 48.1 | 46.9 |
| Isaac Varghese | - | 21 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 42 | 2.6 | 25.2 | 34.9 | 34.8 | 78.6 | 1.28 | 47.7 | 44.6 |
| Alex George | - | 21 | 19.3 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 8 | 0.4 | 5.7 | 56.0 | 37.5 | 73.3 | 0.31 | 61.8 | 59.0 |
| Seth Anderson | - | 21 | 15.0 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 3.6 | -27 | -1.3 | -9.0 | 30.0 | 22.2 | 57.1 | 0.22 | 35.6 | 34.3 |
| Kae Kilic | - | 15 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 31 | 2.1 | 81.5 | 68.8 | 61.5 | 80.0 | 0.3 | 93.4 | 93.8 |
| Josh Ho | - | 11 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3 | 0.3 | 10.1 | 35.7 | 50.0 | 62.5 | -0.53 | 45.7 | 39.3 |
| Henry Nam | - | 11 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | -7 | -0.7 | -29.2 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.01 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Ian Hochman | - | 14 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | -19 | -1.5 | -29.7 | 18.2 | 20.0 | 0 | -1.53 | 22.7 | 22.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG