🐻⬇️🏀

Widener

Also known as: Widener
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 859 (#561) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 887 (#503) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 930 (#636) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -9.6 (#337) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -12.9 (#577) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.560 (#429) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.3 More → 0.537 (#341) AdjNet +1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.0 More → 0.529 (#341) AdjNet +1.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 77.0 More → 0.520 (#342) AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 77.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 83.9 More → 0.364 (#619) AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 83.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.267 (#605) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.281 (#607) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 22 More → 857 (#510) RD 98 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Drexel - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Penn St.-Abington - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Arcadia - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 vs Neumann - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Ursinus - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 vs Wilson - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Immaculata - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ DeSales - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Salisbury - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 @ Swarthmore - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 @ Stockton - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Rowan - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ Alvernia - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Messiah - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Eastern - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Hood - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ Albright - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Stevenson - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs York (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Hood - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Eastern - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Messiah - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Myles Bright - 20 29.6 18.6 3.9 2.6 1.1 0.0 2.4 15.0 8.8 14 0.7 4.0 43.3 32.9 75.0 1.96 55.1 51.3
CJ Hayes - 1 20.7 17.0 3.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 18.0 41 2.7 101.0 100.0 100.0 50.0 0.27 107.9 114.3
Taz Cantey - 1 33.4 14.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 6.0 29 1.4 8.4 46.2 40.0 0 0.27 53.8 53.8
Jacob Aryee - 16 19.4 12.9 2.7 1.0 1.2 0.2 1.8 10.1 6.2 -33 -2.1 -18.8 42.0 33.8 74.6 -1.48 55.1 50.3
Kori Segich - 19 26.9 12.5 5.6 1.6 0.9 0.2 1.7 9.6 9.6 -1 -0.1 -0.3 46.2 25.5 63.7 0.73 53.6 49.5
Khalil Baker - 1 21.1 11.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 15.0 33 1.6 12.4 60.0 0 55.6 -0.01 61.4 60.0
Brycen Williams - 1 34.8 11.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 3.0 48 2.5 14.0 41.7 16.7 0 1.16 45.8 45.8
Christian Conklin - 1 13.3 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 - - - 60.0 50.0 100.0 - 85.0 80.0
Jay-Nelly Reyes - 16 23.9 9.6 4.1 3.2 2.4 0.2 2.9 10.3 6.3 23 1.4 8.3 33.3 16.4 64.0 - 40.9 36.7
Michael Pirone - 1 18.3 9.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 7.0 -10 -0.5 -3.7 33.3 0.0 83.3 -1.59 52.1 33.3
TJ Bryson - 20 23.0 6.3 2.6 1.2 1.4 0.1 0.7 5.2 5.8 -40 -2.0 -15.1 44.7 36.7 85.0 -1.92 56.8 53.4
Ethan Dodson - 20 20.5 5.8 3.8 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.9 3.8 7.4 -74 -3.7 -32.9 67.1 0.0 51.9 -4.31 66.0 67.1
Namisse Musonge - 20 15.6 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.4 4.8 2.4 -42 -2.1 -26.1 36.8 32.4 58.3 2.44 45.5 43.2
Dylan Schlatter - 17 17.6 4.4 3.2 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.7 3.6 5.8 -42 -2.5 -26.9 37.1 33.3 69.6 -1.44 52.0 47.6
Emmett Kane - 20 15.4 4.0 4.1 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.6 3.2 6.7 -23 -1.1 -19.0 44.6 21.4 51.4 -0.79 49.2 46.9
Ife Okebiorun - 1 10.9 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 31 1.6 11.3 100.0 0 66.7 -0.27 86.2 100.0
Khamai Orange - 1 30.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 5.0 84 4.7 32.4 40.0 0.0 0 3.6 40.0 40.0
Matt Johnson - 19 9.4 3.7 1.4 1.6 0.4 0.1 1.2 2.4 3.5 -35 -1.3 -62.5 45.7 50.0 65.8 -1.32 56.6 50.0
Jeremy Hanton - 3 6.0 3.0 0.3 0.3 1.0 0.0 0.3 2.3 2.0 -11 -3.7 -142.7 42.9 25.0 40.0 - 48.9 50.0
Conner Schumacher - 12 6.8 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.4 2.6 -11 -1.0 -62.3 58.8 0 60.0 -0.16 62.0 58.8
Keith Gee - 8 10.6 2.6 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.1 1.9 1.8 2.6 - - - 50.0 33.3 100.0 -0.88 64.8 57.1
Nic Johnson - 1 7.2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 25 1.8 82.9 0.0 0 100.0 1.82 53.2 0.0
Dan Mason - 1 9.2 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -51 -6.4 -90.9 33.3 0.0 0 -3.98 33.3 33.3
Jayden Lawrence - 15 7.5 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 3.0 -0.3 -74 -5.3 -123.2 26.7 20.0 40.0 -4.69 30.7 30.0
Drew Harvey - 3 7.1 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.7 1.3 -10 -3.3 -129.7 20.0 25.0 0.0 0.19 27.6 30.0
Kieren Webb - 3 5.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -8 -2.7 -103.8 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Jones - 1 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 140 7.0 50.0 0 0 0 4.44 0 0
Madyx Gruber - 1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG