Widener
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 879 (#554) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 864 (#541) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 930 (#636) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.8 (#263) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.9 (#577) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.560 (#429) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.537 (#341) | AdjNet +1.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.529 (#341) | AdjNet +1.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.520 (#342) | AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 77.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.364 (#619) | AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 83.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.267 (#605) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.281 (#607) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 860 (#518) | RD 98 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Drexel | L | 59 - 93 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | W | 96 - 68 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Arcadia | L | 74 - 94 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Neumann | L | 82 - 93 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Ursinus | L | 74 - 81 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Wilson | L | 94 - 99 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Immaculata | W | 91 - 77 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | DeSales | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Salisbury | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Swarthmore | L | 80 - 91 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Stockton | L | 64 - 106 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Rowan | W | 89 - 84 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Alvernia | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Messiah | W | 89 - 79 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Eastern | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Hood | L | 86 - 103 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Albright | L | 79 - 82 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Stevenson | W | 83 - 74 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | York (PA) | L | 67 - 93 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Hood | L | 97 - 104 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Eastern | L | 83 - 85 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Messiah | W | 90 - 89 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Bright | - | 21 | 29.2 | 18.0 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 14.7 | 8.4 | 14 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 43.0 | 32.9 | 75.0 | -0.2 | 54.6 | 51.0 |
| CJ Hayes | - | 1 | 20.7 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 41 | 2.7 | 101.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -3.57 | 107.9 | 114.3 |
| Taz Cantey | - | 1 | 33.4 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 29 | 1.4 | 8.4 | 46.2 | 40.0 | 0 | -2.19 | 53.8 | 53.8 |
| Jacob Aryee | - | 17 | 19.4 | 12.5 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 10.2 | 5.5 | -33 | -2.1 | -18.8 | 41.0 | 32.1 | 74.6 | -1.09 | 53.5 | 48.8 |
| Kori Segich | - | 20 | 26.4 | 12.2 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 9.3 | 9.2 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 46.0 | 26.0 | 63.7 | 1.2 | 53.5 | 49.5 |
| Khalil Baker | - | 1 | 21.1 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 33 | 1.6 | 12.4 | 60.0 | 0 | 55.6 | -1.05 | 61.4 | 60.0 |
| Brycen Williams | - | 1 | 34.8 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 48 | 2.5 | 14.0 | 41.7 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.22 | 45.8 | 45.8 |
| Christian Conklin | - | 1 | 13.3 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 85.0 | 80.0 |
| Jay-Nelly Reyes | - | 17 | 23.4 | 9.0 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 10.1 | 5.6 | 23 | 1.4 | 8.3 | 32.2 | 15.7 | 64.0 | 1.09 | 39.6 | 35.4 |
| Michael Pirone | - | 1 | 18.3 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -10 | -0.5 | -3.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -1.54 | 52.1 | 33.3 |
| TJ Bryson | - | 21 | 22.8 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 5.5 | -40 | -2.0 | -15.1 | 44.3 | 36.0 | 85.0 | -1.14 | 56.2 | 52.8 |
| Ethan Dodson | - | 21 | 20.4 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 7.2 | -74 | -3.7 | -32.9 | 65.8 | 0.0 | 51.9 | -1.86 | 64.9 | 65.8 |
| Namisse Musonge | - | 21 | 15.7 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 4.9 | 2.5 | -42 | -2.1 | -26.1 | 38.2 | 32.4 | 60.0 | 2.94 | 46.5 | 44.1 |
| Dylan Schlatter | - | 17 | 17.6 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 5.8 | -42 | -2.5 | -26.9 | 37.1 | 33.3 | 69.6 | -1.11 | 52.0 | 47.6 |
| Emmett Kane | - | 20 | 15.4 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 6.7 | -23 | -1.1 | -19.0 | 44.6 | 21.4 | 51.4 | 3.16 | 49.2 | 46.9 |
| Ife Okebiorun | - | 1 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 31 | 1.6 | 11.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.16 | 86.2 | 100.0 |
| Khamai Orange | - | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 84 | 4.7 | 32.4 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4.46 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Matt Johnson | - | 20 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 3.7 | -35 | -1.3 | -62.5 | 49.0 | 50.0 | 65.0 | -1.05 | 58.6 | 53.1 |
| Keith Gee | - | 9 | 11.2 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 3.4 | - | - | - | 47.6 | 28.6 | 100.0 | - | 58.2 | 52.4 |
| Jeremy Hanton | - | 4 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | -11 | -3.7 | -142.7 | 44.4 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0.75 | 53.6 | 55.6 |
| Conner Schumacher | - | 13 | 6.8 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 2.6 | -11 | -1.0 | -62.3 | 54.5 | 0 | 62.5 | 0.58 | 59.9 | 54.5 |
| Jayden Lawrence | - | 16 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.2 | -0.2 | -74 | -5.3 | -123.2 | 27.5 | 22.2 | 40.0 | 0.97 | 32.0 | 31.4 |
| Nic Johnson | - | 1 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 25 | 1.8 | 82.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.66 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Dan Mason | - | 1 | 9.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -51 | -6.4 | -90.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.59 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Drew Harvey | - | 4 | 6.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | -10 | -3.3 | -129.7 | 16.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.75 | 23.3 | 25.0 |
| Kieren Webb | - | 4 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -2.7 | -103.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Jones | - | 1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 140 | 7.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.66 | 0 | 0 |
| Madyx Gruber | - | 2 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG