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USC

Also known as: USC Trojans, USC
Program History

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

78.6
PPG
77.9
Opp
+0.7
Margin
45.4%
FG%
31.4%
3P%
72.4%
FT%
36.5
RPG
15.3
APG
12.5
TO
71.5
Est. poss./game
80.9
Adj PPG
72.8
Adj Opp PPG
#80
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1042 (#136) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1126 (#79) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 925 (#294) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +9.5 (#71) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More → +5.2 (#99) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.479 (#191) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.8 More → 0.479 (#191) NetEff -0.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.1 More → 0.802 (#78) AdjNet +12.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.3 More → 0.805 (#78) AdjNet +12.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.677 (#80) AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 72.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 76.4 More → 0.466 (#215) AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 76.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.608 (#108) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.566 (#130) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 31 More → 1060 (#124) RD 136 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 94 - 64
2025-11-09 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 114 - 83
2025-11-14 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 87 - 67
2025-11-20 vs Troy Trojans W 107 - 106
2025-11-24 @ Boise State Broncos W 70 - 67
2025-11-25 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 83 - 81
2025-11-26 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 88 - 75
2025-12-02 @ Oregon Ducks W 82 - 77
2025-12-06 vs Washington Huskies L 76 - 84
2025-12-09 @ San Diego Toreros W 94 - 81
2025-12-14 vs Washington State Cougars W 68 - 61
2025-12-17 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 97 - 70
2025-12-21 vs UC Santa Cruz Banana Slugs W 102 - 63
2026-01-02 @ Michigan Wolverines L 66 - 96
2026-01-05 @ Michigan State Spartans L 51 - 80
2026-01-09 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 70 - 69
2026-01-13 vs Maryland Terrapins W 88 - 71
2026-01-17 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 64 - 69
2026-01-21 vs Northwestern Wildcats L 68 - 74
2026-01-25 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 73 - 71
2026-01-28 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 72 - 73
2026-01-31 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 78 - 75
2026-02-03 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 81 - 75
2026-02-08 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 77 - 75
2026-02-11 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 82 - 89
2026-02-18 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 65 - 101
2026-02-21 vs Oregon Ducks L 70 - 71
2026-02-24 @ UCLA Bruins L 62 - 81
2026-02-28 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 67 - 82
2026-03-04 @ Washington Huskies L 72 - 91
2026-03-07 vs UCLA Bruins L 68 - 89
2026-03-11 @ Washington Huskies L 79 - 83

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Rodney Rice Rodney Rice - 6 34.0 20.3 3.3 6.0 1.2 0.2 1.8 15.8 13.3 - - - - 41.1 38.5 74.4 -1.79 54.4 48.9
Chad Baker-Mazara Chad Baker-Mazara - 26 29.6 18.5 4.2 2.8 0.7 1.3 2.3 13.0 12.1 36 20 1.8 2.7 44.4 38.1 89.5 2.5 60.5 53.4
Ezra Ausar Ezra Ausar - 32 29.8 14.8 6.5 1.7 1.0 0.4 2.1 8.5 13.9 -54 25 -2.2 -3.1 58.3 0.0 67.4 1.01 63.3 58.3
Alijah Arenas Alijah Arenas G 14 27.6 14.1 2.9 2.1 0.9 0.5 2.3 13.0 5.2 -57 12 -4.8 -7.4 34.1 21.3 79.2 -0.77 45.9 37.6
Jacob Cofie Jacob Cofie - 32 30.4 9.9 6.8 1.9 0.9 1.8 1.7 7.6 12.2 -8 25 -0.3 -0.5 51.0 31.8 60.5 2.84 57.1 55.3
Kam Woods Kam Woods G 20 31.4 8.8 4.3 4.1 1.7 0.1 2.0 8.1 8.9 -55 15 -3.7 -4.7 42.0 16.7 61.1 0.52 47.4 44.1
Jordan Marsh Jordan Marsh G 28 18.3 7.2 2.0 1.9 0.7 0.1 1.1 5.5 5.2 -22 22 -1.0 -2.4 40.0 35.7 77.8 -0.92 55.5 49.7
Jaden Brownell Jaden Brownell F 30 11.6 5.1 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 4.6 3.0 -2 23 -0.1 -0.4 39.1 29.4 83.3 0.75 51.5 48.2
Amarion Dickerson Amarion Dickerson G 8 21.6 4.6 3.4 1.1 0.8 0.9 1.0 2.8 7.0 - - - - 50.0 44.4 61.1 0.23 61.8 59.1
Jerry Easter Ii Jerry Easter Ii - 29 17.3 4.4 3.0 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.9 3.8 4.6 -53 23 -2.3 -7.1 43.6 23.5 74.4 -2.13 50.7 45.5
Gabe Dynes Gabe Dynes - 30 11.9 2.9 2.3 0.4 0.1 1.0 0.7 1.7 4.4 -26 24 -1.1 -4.0 78.8 0 35.3 0.46 74.0 78.8
Ryan Cornish Ryan Cornish G 25 11.0 2.4 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.4 2.0 1.9 -42 18 -2.3 -9.4 36.7 32.4 93.3 -4.21 54.9 48.0
Terrance Williams Ii Terrance Williams Ii - 31 13.3 2.2 2.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.1 1.9 3.0 -19 23 -0.8 -2.5 30.0 27.6 64.1 0.26 44.7 36.7
Brit Burden Brit Burden - 2 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
EJ Neal EJ Neal - 8 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 -0.2 - - - - 37.5 0.0 0 -1.52 37.5 37.5
Jonah Goorin Jonah Goorin - 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Patrick O'Brien Patrick O'Brien - 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Former USC players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2025-2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last USC game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG
E. Mobley 2020-21 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers 2 34.7 19.0 9.0 3.0
D. DeRozan 2008-09 NBA Denver Nuggets 2 25.9 12.5 2.5 1.5
D. Melton 2016-17 NBA Golden State Warriors 3 22.7 11.7 2.7 2.3
Boubacar Coulibaly 2020-22 NBA Washington Wizards 3 26.9 9.7 4.0 0.3
O. Okongwu 2019-20 NBA Atlanta Hawks 3 25.7 8.7 5.0 3.3
I. Collier 2023-24 NBA Utah Jazz 2 16.9 8.5 2.5 5.0
GG Jackson 2010-12 NBA Memphis Grizzlies + G League 2 GP 2 17.0 7.0 6.0 0.5
B. James 2023-24 NBA Los Angeles Lakers + G League 14 GP 1 6.8 2.0 0.0 0.0
J. McLaughlin 2014-18 NBA San Antonio Spurs 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0
Nikola Vučević 2008-11 NBA Orlando Magic 2 4.5 0.0 1.5 0.5
D. Hackett 2006-09 EuroLeague Virtus Bologna 6 12.7 2.3 2.0 0.5
K. Johnson 2021-24 G League College Park Skyhawks 26 30.9 15.5 6.7 2.7
D. Peterson 2020-23 G League Motor City Cruise (2 teams) 26 33.7 14.3 6.3 6.3
Saint Thomas 2024-25 G League Delaware Blue Coats 34 29.2 11.9 5.0 3.9
DJ Rodman 2023-24 G League Greensboro Swarm 28 18.0 7.6 3.6 1.2

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-10-24 O. Okongwu NBA Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets 26 8 6 2 Box
2026-10-24 J. McLaughlin NBA San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks 3 0 1 0 Box
2026-10-24 E. Mobley NBA Cleveland Cavaliers vs Brooklyn Nets 35 20 10 4 Box
2026-10-24 D. Melton NBA Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns 27 25 5 5 Box
2026-10-24 D. DeRozan NBA Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans 24 12 3 3 Box
2026-10-24 Boubacar Coulibaly NBA Washington Wizards @ Chicago Bulls 25 7 4 0 Box
2026-10-23 O. Okongwu NBA Atlanta Hawks @ Charlotte Hornets 22 10 4 1 Box
2026-10-23 Nikola Vučević NBA Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves 4 0 2 0 Box
2026-10-23 I. Collier NBA Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans 18 10 2 7 Box
2026-10-23 GG Jackson NBA Memphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors 15 2 4 1 Box
2026-10-23 D. Melton NBA Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies 20 10 1 0 Box
2026-10-23 Boubacar Coulibaly NBA Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors 26 11 6 0 Box
2026-10-22 E. Mobley NBA Cleveland Cavaliers @ Philadelphia 76ers 34 18 8 2 Box
2026-10-22 D. DeRozan NBA Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder 28 13 2 0 Box
2026-10-21 O. Okongwu NBA Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic 29 8 5 7 Box
2026-10-21 Nikola Vučević NBA Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks 5 0 1 1 Box
2026-10-21 I. Collier NBA Utah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies 16 7 3 3 Box
2026-10-21 GG Jackson NBA Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz 19 12 8 0 Box
2026-10-21 D. Melton NBA Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers 21 0 2 2 Box
2026-10-21 D. Hackett EuroLeague Virtus Bologna @ Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv 14 5 1 0 Box
2026-10-21 Boubacar Coulibaly NBA Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks 29 11 2 1 Box
2026-10-21 B. James NBA Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors 7 2 0 0 Box
2026-10-16 Nikola Vučević NBA Preseason Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat 23 13 7 2 Box
2026-10-16 K. Porter Jr. NBA Preseason Milwaukee Bucks @ Indiana Pacers 15 11 2 3 Box
2026-10-16 J. McLaughlin NBA Preseason San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings 10 0 2 2 Box

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1887 located field-goal attempts in 32 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Ausar32% Ausar19% Arenas20% Cofie39% Baker-Mazara33% Brownell22% Baker-Mazara32% Baker-Mazara22% Baker-Mazara42% Baker-Mazara40%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Ausar27% Ausar21% Baker-Mazara30% Cofie21% Baker-Mazara30% Cofie17% Baker-Mazara22% Baker-Mazara14% Baker-Mazara23% Baker-Mazara35%
Misses: who misses most here

Chad Baker-MazaraEzra AusarJacob CofieAlijah ArenasJaden Brownell

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 357-520 68.7 714 Ezra Ausar 32% (230 pts) Jacob Cofie 18% (128 pts) Ezra Ausar 27% (44 misses) Jacob Cofie 15% (25 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 196-439 44.6 392 Ezra Ausar 19% (74 pts) Kam Woods 16% (64 pts) Ezra Ausar 21% (51 misses) Jacob Cofie 12% (30 misses)
Mid-range left 40-114 35.1 80 Alijah Arenas 20% (16 pts) Chad Baker-Mazara 18% (14 pts) Chad Baker-Mazara 30% (22 misses) Alijah Arenas 18% (13 misses)
Mid-range center 23-56 41.1 46 Jacob Cofie 39% (18 pts) Chad Baker-Mazara 30% (14 pts) Jacob Cofie 21% (7 misses) Alijah Arenas 18% (6 misses)
Mid-range right 42-125 33.6 84 Chad Baker-Mazara 33% (28 pts) Alijah Arenas 29% (24 pts) Chad Baker-Mazara 30% (25 misses) Alijah Arenas 16% (13 misses)
Left corner 3 23-59 39.0 69 Jaden Brownell 22% (15 pts) Jordan Marsh 22% (15 pts) Jacob Cofie 17% (6 misses) Jaden Brownell 17% (6 misses)
Right corner 3 22-58 37.9 66 Chad Baker-Mazara 32% (21 pts) Jaden Brownell 23% (15 pts) Chad Baker-Mazara 22% (8 misses) Jordan Marsh 22% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 left 60-207 29.0 180 Chad Baker-Mazara 22% (39 pts) Jordan Marsh 20% (36 pts) Chad Baker-Mazara 14% (20 misses) Alijah Arenas 13% (19 misses)
Above-break 3 center 36-123 29.3 108 Chad Baker-Mazara 42% (45 pts) Jordan Marsh 19% (21 pts) Chad Baker-Mazara 23% (20 misses) Jaden Brownell 18% (16 misses)
Above-break 3 right 58-186 31.2 174 Chad Baker-Mazara 40% (69 pts) Alijah Arenas 12% (21 pts) Chad Baker-Mazara 35% (45 misses) Alijah Arenas 12% (15 misses)