Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Terrapins | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.5% | 80.5% | +7.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans +17 (88-71). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Saunders * | 39 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -14.2 |
| David Coit * | 35 | 9-18 | 4-11 | 8-9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 14 | -8.6 |
| Isaiah Watts * | 35 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -3.8 |
| Solomon Washington * | 23 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -10.1 |
| Darius Adams * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -4.4 |
| Andre Mills | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -20.7 |
| Myles Rice | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -7.8 |
| Collin Metcalf | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +1.1 |
| George Turkson Jr. | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Aleks Alston | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.3 |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Cofie * | 36 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 19 | +21.3 |
| Ezra Ausar * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +7.6 |
| Kam Woods * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Gabe Dynes * | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +6.1 |
| Ryan Cornish * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -8.2 |
| Jordan Marsh | 24 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | +18.0 |
| Jaden Brownell | 22 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +16.9 |
| Jerry Easter II | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +14.0 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara | 9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Terrance Williams II | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
* = starter