Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | +14.2 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +7 (89-82). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Woods * | 40 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | +4.5 |
| Jacob Cofie * | 38 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +7.5 |
| Alijah Arenas * | 36 | 6-19 | 1-7 | 12-16 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 12 | -4.7 |
| Ezra Ausar * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | +3.0 |
| Gabe Dynes * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +12.1 |
| Jordan Marsh | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | -3.7 |
| Terrance Williams II | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Ryan Cornish | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Jerry Easter II | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Royal * | 35 | 8-11 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | -5.4 |
| John Mobley Jr. * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Bruce Thornton * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 11-11 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 21 | +14.2 |
| Amare Bynum * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | -3.6 |
| Christoph Tilly * | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | -9.4 |
| Taison Chatman | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +10.5 |
| Puff Johnson | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +9.9 |
| Ivan Njegovan | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7.0 |
| Gabe Cupps | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -1.5 |
* = starter