Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.9% | 25.1% | -6.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -7 (114-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 39 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 30 | 7-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Tari Eason | 30 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 20 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Clint Capela | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Bruce Thornton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 38 | 8-19 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 9 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 32 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 32 | 7-16 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 29 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 28 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 28 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Luguentz Dort | 22 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jock Landale | 18 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kingston Flemings | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter