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2026-10-16

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 21.7% 78.3% +4.9 โœ“ (24.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 17.6% 82.4% - โœ“
Margin 5.7% 94.3% +15.4 โœ“ (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 3.9% 96.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.4% 88.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.4% 88.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +29 (126-97). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 29 6-12 1-5 7-7 3 3 3 0 2 20 15 -
Domantas Sabonis * 29 4-9 1-2 5-10 10 1 0 0 5 14 11 -
Ben Simmons * 25 5-9 0-0 4-4 8 7 1 0 5 14 16 -
Darius Acuff Jr. * 18 5-12 1-2 2-4 1 2 0 1 2 13 3 -
Keegan Murray * 16 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
Emanuel Sharp 24 1-9 0-5 1-2 1 2 4 0 2 3 -1 -
Precious Achiuwa 22 6-7 0-1 1-3 4 2 1 0 2 13 11 -
De'Andre Hunter 20 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
Nique Clifford 18 2-5 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 5 5 -
Tristen Newton 12 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 -
Jonathan Mogbo 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
Alex Karaban 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Daeqwon Plowden 4 1-3 1-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephon Castle * 23 6-9 1-2 0-0 5 5 2 0 4 13 12 -
De'Aaron Fox * 22 5-9 2-5 4-4 6 3 0 0 2 16 14 -
Devin Vassell * 21 5-10 2-6 0-0 6 4 1 1 1 12 13 -
Dylan Harper * 20 7-12 3-6 2-4 0 4 1 0 2 19 10 -
Victor Wembanyama * 17 5-9 0-2 4-4 8 2 2 2 0 14 19 -
Keldon Johnson 20 4-9 1-3 6-9 5 2 0 0 0 15 13 -
Julian Champagnie 17 3-11 3-10 0-1 4 2 0 1 1 9 4 -
Carter Bryant 16 2-7 1-5 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
Tarris Reed Jr. 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 0 3 2 9 -
Harrison Barnes 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Luke Kornet 13 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 1 3 -
Jordan McLaughlin 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Ja'Kobi Gillespie 9 3-6 3-4 2-2 0 1 0 1 0 11 7 -
David Jones Garcia 9 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 2 -3 -
Maliq Brown 9 2-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 2 -

* = starter