Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +22 (127-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Gui Santos * | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 21 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Will Richard | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Georges Niang | 19 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 18 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Al Horford | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 17 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Graham Ike | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Malevy Leons | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| LJ Cryer | 8 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 10-10 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Walker Kessler * | 29 | 12-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Luka Dončić * | 29 | 7-18 | 5-12 | 9-9 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Ziaire Williams * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Quentin Grimes | 27 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 17 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kevon Looney | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Bronny James | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chris Mañon | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter