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2026-10-21

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 34.2% 65.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% - ✓
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 ✓ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.9% 66.1% - ✓
Efficiency 20.1% 79.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 33.7% 66.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.1% 67.9% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards +12 (128-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Turner * 32 4-7 2-5 1-1 5 3 0 1 3 11 10 -
Tyler Herro * 31 9-21 4-11 2-2 2 9 1 0 4 24 11 -
Jaime Jaquez Jr. * 31 8-12 1-3 5-6 7 2 0 0 2 22 17 -
Kyle Kuzma * 27 2-9 1-4 0-0 6 3 3 0 3 5 5 -
Ryan Rollins * 23 4-14 1-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 9 4 -
Kasparas Jakučionis 26 4-7 1-3 6-6 3 3 0 1 1 15 14 -
Ousmane Dieng 21 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 5 5 -
AJ Green 15 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Brayden Burries 15 3-6 2-2 4-5 5 0 0 0 1 12 10 -
Kel'el Ware 13 3-6 0-2 1-3 3 1 1 0 1 7 5 -
Jericho Sims 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 38 4-13 0-6 12-16 0 13 2 0 1 20 21 -
Anthony Davis * 33 11-20 1-3 11-14 12 4 2 1 3 34 30 -
Bilal Coulibaly * 28 4-6 1-3 2-3 2 1 4 2 0 11 14 -
Kyshawn George * 28 8-14 1-6 1-1 5 3 1 1 4 18 10 -
Alex Sarr * 24 3-9 0-3 0-0 9 2 0 0 0 6 8 -
Justin Champagnie 20 3-4 1-2 1-1 8 1 0 0 0 8 13 -
Tre Johnson 19 3-6 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 8 3 -
Bub Carrington 18 3-6 2-3 2-2 1 4 2 0 1 10 10 -
Deandre Ayton 15 5-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 0 11 11 -
Khris Middleton 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter