Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | -0.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -3.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: USC Trojans +6 (81-75). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker DeVries * | 37 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -5.7 |
| Nick Dorn * | 36 | 2-12 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | -17.7 |
| Conor Enright * | 34 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -12.2 |
| Lamar Wilkerson * | 32 | 11-20 | 5-12 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 21 | -3.0 |
| Sam Alexis * | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | -14.6 |
| Reed Bailey | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | +3.4 |
| Tayton Conerway | 10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Jasai Miles | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4.0 |
| Trent Sisley | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.0 |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Woods * | 40 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +11.4 |
| Alijah Arenas * | 37 | 9-23 | 3-9 | 8-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 14 | +12.5 |
| Ezra Ausar * | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | +14.0 |
| Jacob Cofie * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | +16.8 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara * | 20 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +7.4 |
| Jerry Easter II | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Gabe Dynes | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | -6.2 |
| Ryan Cornish | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Jordan Marsh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Jaden Brownell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Terrance Williams II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter