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Sacramento Monarchs

Season: 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
Also known as: Sacramento Monarchs
Program History

2009 Team Stats (34 games)

76.8
PPG
79.1
Opp
-2.4
Margin
43.1%
FG%
33.9%
3P%
78.8%
FT%
33.9
RPG
15.9
APG
14.7
TO
77.4
Est. poss./game
74.7
Adj PPG
76.7
Adj Opp PPG
#11
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 950 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 907 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +107 elo More → 958 (#10) HCA +107 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More → -2.1 (#11) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More → -0.9 (#8) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.414 (#11) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.0 More → 0.414 (#11) AdjNet -3.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.0 More → 0.414 (#11) AdjNet -3.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 76.7 More → 0.454 (#11) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 76.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 77.8 More → 0.481 (#8) AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 77.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.438 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.443 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 131 | GP 34 More → 937 (#11) RD 131 | GP 34

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-06-06 vs Seattle Storm L 61 - 71
2009-06-07 @ Seattle Storm L 70 - 80
2009-06-12 vs Phoenix Mercury W 90 - 71
2009-06-13 @ Phoenix Mercury L 104 - 115
2009-06-16 vs Minnesota Lynx L 83 - 86
2009-06-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 47 - 67
2009-06-26 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 52 - 62
2009-06-28 @ Detroit Shock L 72 - 86
2009-06-30 @ Chicago Sky L 72 - 74
2009-07-02 @ Minnesota Lynx W 74 - 68
2009-07-07 vs Chicago Sky W 83 - 73
2009-07-09 @ Seattle Storm L 55 - 66
2009-07-11 vs Phoenix Mercury L 105 - 107
2009-07-15 @ Phoenix Mercury L 81 - 100
2009-07-17 vs Seattle Storm L 56 - 69
2009-07-19 vs Detroit Shock L 65 - 69
2009-07-22 @ Connecticut Sun L 75 - 83
2009-07-23 @ New York Liberty W 88 - 73
2009-07-26 @ Washington Mystics L 73 - 87
2009-07-30 vs San Antonio Silver Stars W 101 - 93
2009-08-01 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 56 - 59
2009-08-07 vs New York Liberty L 66 - 84
2009-08-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 90 - 73
2009-08-14 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 85 - 79
2009-08-15 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 61 - 78
2009-08-20 vs Indiana Fever W 67 - 62
2009-08-22 vs Washington Mystics W 82 - 60
2009-08-25 @ Atlanta Dream L 83 - 103
2009-08-28 @ Minnesota Lynx L 95 - 100
2009-08-29 @ Indiana Fever W 79 - 78
2009-09-01 vs Connecticut Sun W 90 - 70
2009-09-04 vs Atlanta Dream L 90 - 98
2009-09-10 vs San Antonio Silver Stars L 71 - 80
2009-09-13 vs Minnesota Lynx W 88 - 66

2009 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
N. Powell N. Powell F 36 29.5 16.3 5.7 2.2 1.4 0.2 2.4 13.5 9.9 - - - - 42.0 37.2 98.0 - 55.4 50.3
R. Brunson R. Brunson F 27 24.7 12.3 7.0 0.3 1.5 0.6 1.7 9.4 10.6 - - - - 48.6 0.0 78.3 - 54.9 48.6
John Bryant John Bryant - 36 19.8 8.8 2.6 1.1 0.9 0.2 1.6 7.4 4.6 - - - - 48.7 0.0 71.4 - 52.3 48.7
K. Lawson K. Lawson G 25 24.1 8.8 2.1 2.5 0.6 0.0 1.4 8.0 4.7 - - - - 38.0 33.6 93.9 - 51.3 47.2
D. Walker D. Walker F 36 23.8 8.3 4.5 1.8 0.8 0.4 2.7 7.3 5.8 - - - - 46.8 0.0 72.6 - 50.7 46.8
M. Warburton M. Warburton NA 2 12.0 7.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 6.0 3.5 - - - - 50.0 50.0 50.0 - 58.2 58.3
Larry McSwain Larry McSwain - 36 18.3 6.5 1.5 0.8 1.0 0.2 1.6 5.6 2.8 - - - - 40.9 30.8 67.8 - 48.4 42.9
K. Haynie K. Haynie NA 9 17.4 5.2 1.7 2.0 1.4 0.1 1.7 5.3 3.4 - - - - 33.3 33.3 83.3 - 44.1 38.5
M. Lijie M. Lijie NA 2 9.5 5.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.5 2.5 - - - - 42.9 50.0 75.0 - 57.1 50.0
Andrew Ford Andrew Ford - 35 13.5 4.9 4.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.7 4.1 5.6 - - - - 51.0 0.0 70.3 - 54.0 51.0
T. Penicheiro T. Penicheiro G 32 23.6 4.8 2.7 4.9 1.0 0.1 2.1 4.5 7.0 - - - - 32.2 20.0 81.9 - 43.8 32.9
L. Harper L. Harper F 35 14.2 4.7 3.6 0.6 0.4 0.6 1.3 3.6 5.1 - - - - 38.6 0 72.0 - 49.1 38.6
Tim Bograkos Tim Bograkos - 25 13.0 4.4 1.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.9 2.5 3.5 - - - - 46.8 0.0 81.0 - 60.7 46.8
C. Newton C. Newton NA 25 14.2 2.8 1.3 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.8 3.0 2.8 - - - - 34.7 28.6 65.0 - 41.2 37.3
Jason Terry Jason Terry - 5 9.6 1.2 1.0 0.2 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.8 0.6 - - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Joe Smith Joe Smith - 2 9.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 3.0 -1.0 - - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
B. Farris B. Farris F 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Michael Redd Michael Redd - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2009 Shot Zones

2304 located field-goal attempts in 36 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Brunson18% Powell22% Bryant29% Lawson21% Powell23% McSwain40% Powell57% Powell67% Powell53% Powell55%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Walker16% Walker17% Bryant24% Walker19% Powell29% Lawson30% Powell62% Powell55% Lawson50% Powell52%
Misses: who misses most here

N. PowellJohn BryantR. BrunsonD. WalkerK. LawsonLarry McSwain

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 490-877 55.9 980 R. Brunson 18% (172 pts) D. Walker 16% (154 pts) D. Walker 16% (60 misses) R. Brunson 16% (60 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 152-431 35.3 304 N. Powell 22% (66 pts) D. Walker 19% (58 pts) D. Walker 17% (47 misses) N. Powell 12% (34 misses)
Mid-range left 97-271 35.8 194 John Bryant 29% (56 pts) N. Powell 25% (48 pts) John Bryant 24% (41 misses) N. Powell 18% (31 misses)
Mid-range center 39-109 35.8 78 K. Lawson 21% (16 pts) N. Powell 18% (14 pts) D. Walker 19% (13 misses) N. Powell 11% (8 misses)
Mid-range right 74-214 34.6 148 N. Powell 23% (34 pts) John Bryant 22% (32 pts) N. Powell 29% (41 misses) John Bryant 19% (26 misses)
Left corner 3 5-15 33.3 15 Larry McSwain 40% (6 pts) N. Powell 40% (6 pts) K. Lawson 30% (3 misses) Larry McSwain 30% (3 misses)
Right corner 3 7-20 35.0 21 N. Powell 57% (12 pts) Larry McSwain 29% (6 pts) N. Powell 62% (8 misses) Larry McSwain 23% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 left 45-146 30.8 135 N. Powell 67% (90 pts) K. Lawson 22% (30 pts) N. Powell 55% (56 misses) K. Lawson 27% (27 misses)
Above-break 3 center 17-43 39.5 51 N. Powell 53% (27 pts) K. Lawson 29% (15 pts) K. Lawson 50% (13 misses) N. Powell 38% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 right 65-178 36.5 195 N. Powell 55% (108 pts) K. Lawson 31% (60 pts) N. Powell 52% (59 misses) K. Lawson 23% (26 misses)