Portland State
2026 Team Stats (31 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 955 (#188) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1024 (#158) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1019 (#144) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +0.8 (#150) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -1.9 (#206) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.606 (#107) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.606 (#107) | NetEff +3.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.507 (#162) | AdjNet +0.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.508 (#162) | AdjNet +0.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.516 (#154) | AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 69.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.498 (#176) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 70.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.506 (#171) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.502 (#173) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1008 (#172) | RD 139 | GP 28 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Terri Miller Jr.
|
- | 30 | 31.5 | 19.1 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 14.3 | 13.0 | 159 | 27 | 5.9 | 7.6 | 50.3 | 38.8 | 69.9 | 7.35 | 59.2 | 56.6 |
Jaylin Henderson
|
- | 31 | 37.3 | 18.2 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 14.6 | 12.4 | 67 | 27 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 42.3 | 26.6 | 78.7 | 0.4 | 52.6 | 45.9 |
Keyon Kensie Jr.
|
- | 29 | 30.3 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 10.5 | 20 | 25 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 42.4 | 28.7 | 72.4 | -3.62 | 51.8 | 46.8 |
T. Minott
|
- | 31 | 28.6 | 9.9 | 8.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6.2 | 13.4 | 34 | 27 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 65.6 | 0 | 61.4 | -1.9 | 66.3 | 65.6 |
Kelcy Phipps
|
- | 31 | 17.6 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 4.4 | -2 | 27 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 47.6 | 43.1 | 47.7 | -3.65 | 58.7 | 59.5 |
Sebastian Tidor
|
- | 27 | 12.8 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 11 | 23 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 36.7 | 34.2 | 70.0 | 0.4 | 51.4 | 49.1 |
Isaiah Williams
|
G | 24 | 14.4 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 6 | 23 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 40.0 | 24.4 | 75.0 | -2.67 | 52.8 | 47.1 |
Alex Dupre
|
- | 30 | 15.4 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 2.4 | -9 | 27 | -0.3 | -0.9 | 29.3 | 29.4 | 83.9 | -2.28 | 45.0 | 37.5 |
Brycen Long
|
- | 27 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 21 | 23 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 36.2 | 37.3 | 83.3 | -0.83 | 59.1 | 52.6 |
Charles Chukwu
|
- | 21 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | -9 | 17 | -0.5 | -7.1 | 83.3 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.28 | 79.4 | 83.3 |
Mozae Downing-Rivers
|
G | 19 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 12 | 16 | 0.8 | 7.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.26 | 57.7 | 50.0 |
Brayden Barron
|
- | 20 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 12 | 17 | 0.7 | 8.2 | 52.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.41 | 50.3 | 52.9 |
Colt Ness
|
- | 10 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0 | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.04 | 30.8 | 30.8 |
Samuel Stewart Iv
|
- | 11 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | -4 | 8 | -0.5 | -10.4 | 30.8 | 12.5 | 0 | -1.27 | 34.6 | 34.6 |
Kean Webb
|
- | 4 | 6.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 14.3 | -1.22 | 29.5 | 50.0 |
Matt Beatty
|
C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Isaac Brice
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Portland State players in G League 2025-2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Portland State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Parker | 2022-23 | G League | Rip City Remix | 29 | 20.2 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 6.2 |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
2025-2026 Shot Zones
1845 located field-goal attempts in 31 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Terri Miller Jr.Jaylin HendersonT. MinottSebastian TidorAlex DupreIsaiah WilliamsBrycen Long
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 312-475 | 65.7 | 624 | T. Minott 29% (182 pts) | Jaylin Henderson 22% (140 pts) | Jaylin Henderson 23% (38 misses) | Keyon Kensie Jr. 22% (36 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 282-586 | 48.1 | 564 | Terri Miller Jr. 33% (188 pts) | Jaylin Henderson 24% (138 pts) | Jaylin Henderson 31% (93 misses) | Terri Miller Jr. 26% (78 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 22-59 | 37.3 | 44 | Jaylin Henderson 45% (20 pts) | Terri Miller Jr. 27% (12 pts) | Terri Miller Jr. 32% (12 misses) | Jaylin Henderson 27% (10 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 9-27 | 33.3 | 18 | Alex Dupre 22% (4 pts) | Jaylin Henderson 22% (4 pts) | Jaylin Henderson 44% (8 misses) | Terri Miller Jr. 28% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 19-63 | 30.2 | 38 | Jaylin Henderson 37% (14 pts) | Alex Dupre 16% (6 pts) | Jaylin Henderson 50% (22 misses) | Alex Dupre 11% (5 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 16-64 | 25.0 | 48 | Isaiah Williams 31% (15 pts) | Sebastian Tidor 25% (12 pts) | Isaiah Williams 23% (11 misses) | Kelcy Phipps 17% (8 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 16-73 | 21.9 | 48 | Sebastian Tidor 25% (12 pts) | Jaylin Henderson 19% (9 pts) | Brycen Long 23% (13 misses) | Keyon Kensie Jr. 21% (12 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 78-218 | 35.8 | 234 | Terri Miller Jr. 26% (60 pts) | Keyon Kensie Jr. 18% (42 pts) | Terri Miller Jr. 25% (35 misses) | Jaylin Henderson 21% (30 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 41-119 | 34.5 | 123 | Terri Miller Jr. 54% (66 pts) | Jaylin Henderson 22% (27 pts) | Terri Miller Jr. 38% (30 misses) | Jaylin Henderson 29% (23 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 56-161 | 34.8 | 168 | Terri Miller Jr. 21% (36 pts) | Jaylin Henderson 16% (27 pts) | Jaylin Henderson 29% (30 misses) | Terri Miller Jr. 18% (19 misses) |