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2025-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Portland State Vikings Spread Result
Elo 11.3% 88.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.3% 86.7% - โœ“
Margin 5.6% 94.4% +15.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 17.4% 82.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 2.0% 98.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 5.9% 94.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.8% 94.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“

Actual: Portland State Vikings +13 (93-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dailin Smith * 35 9-17 4-8 8-9 2 0 1 0 5 30 11 -
CJ Hardy * 31 5-9 1-3 10-11 3 7 1 1 4 21 20 -
Tom Mark * 30 2-4 0-2 1-2 7 4 1 0 1 5 12 -
Aj George * 29 4-9 1-3 1-2 3 2 1 2 0 10 9 -
Pierre Geneste Jr. * 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
Ronald Jessamy 27 3-6 1-1 0-1 1 0 3 2 1 7 6 -
Kadar Waller 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 0 -2 -
Jaden Alexander 11 0-2 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Mike Price 9 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 2 0 -
Caleb McCarty 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Minott * 34 7-10 0-0 2-4 4 1 1 0 0 16 12 -
Jaylin Henderson * 31 10-17 1-3 7-7 2 5 2 1 4 28 17 -
Terri Miller Jr. * 27 7-9 3-4 3-3 5 5 0 0 2 20 19 -
Keyon Kensie Jr. * 27 4-6 1-1 0-2 8 1 1 2 2 9 13 -
Alex Dupre * 16 2-4 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
Kelcy Phipps 25 1-2 1-2 3-8 2 0 2 0 3 6 5 -
Sebastian Tidor 23 2-7 2-6 2-2 4 2 1 1 0 8 9 -
Mozae Downing-Rivers 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Charles Chukwu 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Brycen Long 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter