Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings -3 (72-75). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Te'Jon Sawyer * | 35 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Tyler Thompson * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +11.5 |
| Money Williams * | 30 | 11-18 | 4-9 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 14 | +7.7 |
| Kenyon Aguino * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +5.4 |
| Brooklyn Hicks * | 16 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Tyler Isaak | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +7.3 |
| Grant Kepley | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +14.5 |
| Trae Taylor | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +14.5 |
| Chase Henderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.7 |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Henderson * | 40 | 7-21 | 0-3 | 9-9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 13 | -11.5 |
| T. Minott * | 37 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | -13.6 |
| Terri Miller Jr. * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -2 | -10.8 |
| Isaiah Williams * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -16.4 |
| Alex Dupre * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -8.8 |
| Kelcy Phipps | 21 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Brycen Long | 13 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Sebastian Tidor | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2.5 |
| Samuel Stewart IV | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter