Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State Vikings | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.5% | 27.5% | -5.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -1 (73-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Miller Jr. | 38 | 8-24 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 5 | - |
| J. Henderson | 37 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| K. Kensie Jr. | 34 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| T. Minott | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| I. Williams | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Phipps | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Tidor | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Dupre | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Long | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Downing-Rivers | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Barron | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams | 38 | 4-15 | 2-4 | 16-18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 13 | - |
| P. Johnson | 35 | 9-16 | 4-6 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 22 | - |
| J. Summers | 29 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Lavrenov | 27 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Glover | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Madi | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. O'Neal | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| J. Teat | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter