Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State Vikings | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.3% | 27.7% | -5.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -1 (73-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terri Miller Jr. | 38 | 8-24 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Jaylin Henderson | 37 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -10.1 |
| Keyon Kensie Jr. | 34 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | -2.9 |
| T. Minott | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 19 | -8.2 |
| Isaiah Williams | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Kelcy Phipps | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8.5 |
| Sebastian Tidor | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Alex Dupre | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Brycen Long | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.5 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2.7 |
| Brayden Barron | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey Williams | 38 | 4-15 | 2-4 | 16-18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 13 | +4.9 |
| Prophet Johnson | 35 | 9-16 | 4-6 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 22 | +12.9 |
| Jahni Summers | 29 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -10.5 |
| Mark Lavrenov | 27 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -3.5 |
| Taj Glover | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Arman Madi | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +11.4 |
| Shaqir O'Neal | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | +9.3 |
| Jayden Teat | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.7 |
* = starter