Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | +0.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +3 (76-73). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Bloch * | 36 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | -3.6 |
| Quinn Denker * | 36 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6.7 |
| Brock Wisne * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Ibu Yamazaki * | 31 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Egan Shields * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -4.9 |
| Vincent Delano | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -8.7 |
| Ring Nyeri | 21 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Hunter Caldwell | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.6 |
| Ariik Mawien | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Minott * | 40 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | -1.3 |
| Jaylin Henderson * | 40 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Terri Miller Jr. * | 38 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 4 | +11.1 |
| Keyon Kensie Jr. * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | -0.6 |
| Alex Dupre * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.6 |
| Kelcy Phipps | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Brycen Long | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Isaiah Williams | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Sebastian Tidor | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.7 |
* = starter