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2025-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 43.4% 56.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% -
Margin 29.9% 70.1% +4.7 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% -
Efficiency 68.1% 31.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% -
Log Adjusted 28.8% 71.2% -
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Henderson * 37 6-16 3-8 3-4 0 6 1 0 3 18 6 -10.3
K. Kensie Jr. * 33 4-9 1-4 0-3 7 2 0 1 1 9 9 -3.5
T. Minott * 32 7-10 0-0 2-2 13 1 0 0 2 16 18 -
T. Miller Jr. * 28 2-11 0-4 0-0 5 6 1 0 4 4 1 -10.4
A. Dupre * 25 2-4 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 6 -5.5
S. Tidor 23 4-12 3-8 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 11 1 +2.5
B. Long 8 0-0 0-0 4-4 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 +4.1
C. Chukwu 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +5.0
C. Ness 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -6.9
K. Phipps 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5.9

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ry. Beasley * 36 8-14 3-8 4-6 4 4 1 0 2 23 16 +9.4
V. Masic * 30 3-6 3-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 11 11 +5.4
T. Riley IV * 28 4-7 2-3 1-2 6 1 1 1 1 11 12 +12.4
J. Wang * 15 1-5 0-1 3-3 4 0 1 0 0 5 5 +20.7
G. Diaz Graham * 11 2-6 0-2 3-4 1 1 0 1 0 7 4 +8.8
M. Cook 25 5-8 1-3 2-2 5 3 1 2 3 13 13 -7.3
D. Fuchs 21 1-5 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 3 4 2 -3.3
L. Smiley 17 1-5 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -4.3
V. Abosi 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 0 5 -4.1
S. Gigiberia 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -1.0

* = starter