Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State Vikings | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | -0.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +6 (74-68). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Henderson * | 40 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | -3.4 |
| Keyon Kensie Jr. * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 6-9 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | -8.0 |
| Tre-Vaughn Minott * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -16.3 |
| Terri Miller Jr. * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | -1.7 |
| Alex Dupre * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -6.9 |
| Isaiah Williams | 23 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4.3 |
| Kelcy Phipps | 18 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.7 |
| Brycen Long | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -3.6 |
| Sebastian Tidor | 10 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +3.2 |
| Brayden Barron | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Samuel Stewart IV | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.5 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Charles Chukwu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.2 |
| Colt Ness | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Henderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Money Williams * | 36 | 10-20 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Tyler Thompson * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | +8.1 |
| Brooklyn Hicks * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +5.3 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Kenyon Aguino * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +9.0 |
| Grant Kepley | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | -9.1 |
| Tyler Isaak | 21 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -3.2 |
| Trae Taylor | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Connor Dick | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
* = starter