Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State Vikings | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | +8.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +11 (84-73). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Henderson * | 40 | 10-18 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 13 | -4.2 |
| Keyon Kensie Jr. * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -9.9 |
| Terri Miller Jr. * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 8 | +4.5 |
| T. Minott * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Alex Dupre * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Sebastian Tidor | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Isaiah Williams | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -6.8 |
| Kelcy Phipps | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.9 |
| Kean Webb | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.4 |
| Charles Chukwu | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.7 |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress * | 28 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | -3.0 |
| Felix Kossaras * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +3.8 |
| Bangot Dak * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +6.1 |
| Sebastian Rancik * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Elijah Malone * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Isaiah Johnson | 27 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 11-11 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | +14.5 |
| Alon Michaeli | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Josiah Sanders | 19 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +10.4 |
| Jalin Holland | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -1.6 |
* = starter