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2026-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings Idaho Vandals Spread Result
Elo 40.8% 59.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Margin 38.9% 61.1% +2.5 โœ— (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 47.7% 52.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% - โœ—

Actual: Idaho Vandals -3 (66-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terri Miller Jr. 33 11-19 2-5 5-8 5 4 0 1 3 29 17 +9.9
Keyon Kensie Jr. 30 0-3 0-1 2-2 8 0 1 0 1 2 7 -7.2
Jaylin Henderson 29 5-13 0-1 3-3 3 5 1 0 2 13 7 +6.1
T. Minott 28 6-9 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 0 0 12 10 -5.2
Kelcy Phipps 24 1-3 1-2 1-2 0 0 4 0 1 4 4 -14.6
Isaiah Williams 21 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -2.8
Brycen Long 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 5 +8.1
Mozae Downing-Rivers 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 0 3 +1.0
Alex Dupre 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 +4.0
Charles Chukwu 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +5.7
Sebastian Tidor 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.4
Brayden Barron 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 +1.2

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kolton Mitchell 35 1-5 0-2 0-1 4 6 1 0 1 2 7 -1.4
Jackson Rasmussen 33 5-13 0-3 1-2 5 2 0 0 3 11 2 +2.4
Biko Johnson 32 4-12 4-9 8-10 6 0 3 0 3 20 14 -5.1
Isaiah Brickner 27 7-9 2-3 6-8 6 0 0 0 2 22 17 +3.2
Jack Payne 24 3-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 7 5 -2.1
Seth Joba 22 0-1 0-1 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 1 6 -0.6
Brody Rowbury 18 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 3 1 -7.1
Trevon Blassingame 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.9
Aidan Sevilla 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.7

* = starter