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2026-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Portland State Vikings Spread Result
Elo 32.1% 67.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% - โœ—
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 โœ— (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 34.9% 65.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 34.7% 65.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 37.7% 62.3% - โœ—

Actual: Portland State Vikings -4 (60-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Thompson 34 1-2 0-1 2-2 5 1 2 0 2 4 8 -2.5
Grant Kepley 31 2-7 0-4 6-10 5 2 2 0 0 10 12 +2.8
Te'Jon Sawyer 30 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 3 2 0 -1.0
Money Williams 30 8-14 0-0 8-9 2 2 3 0 6 24 11 +7.9
Kenyon Aguino 26 4-7 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 3 10 2 +7.0
Trae Taylor 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 4 6 +0.4
Brooklyn Hicks 17 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 0 2 0 0 5 6 +2.6
Tyler Isaak 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 3 -6.7
Chase Henderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Minott 40 4-5 0-0 4-6 12 0 0 2 0 12 21 -4.1
Terri Miller Jr. 40 5-12 0-4 5-7 4 2 4 2 4 15 11 +6.2
Jaylin Henderson 38 3-13 0-3 7-8 6 5 2 0 8 13 5 +0.5
Keyon Kensie Jr. 29 2-7 0-3 1-2 4 1 2 0 2 5 3 +7.1
Brycen Long 24 2-3 2-3 1-2 1 3 2 0 3 7 7 +5.3
Alex Dupre 11 1-3 0-0 3-3 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -3.9
Kelcy Phipps 9 0-2 0-2 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -14.1
Isaiah Williams 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2.7
Mozae Downing-Rivers 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.0
Brayden Barron 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

* = starter