Philadelphia 76ers
2016 Team Stats (78 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 635 (#30) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 668 (#30) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 846 (#30) | HCA +84 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -9.9 (#30) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -9.7 (#29) | HCA +5.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.241 (#30) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.249 (#30) | AdjNet -9.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.248 (#30) | AdjNet -9.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.291 (#30) | AdjO 96.3 | AdjD 106.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.326 (#29) | AdjO 98.1 | AdjD 106.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.224 (#30) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.230 (#30) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 733 (#30) | RD 277 | GP 82 |
2016 Schedule & Results
2016 Roster
Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jahlil Okafor
|
F | 51 | 30.1 | 17.6 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 14.7 | 10.3 | -620 | 53 | -11.7 | -10.1 | 50.9 | 16.7 | 69.3 | -1.0 | 53.8 | 51.0 |
Ish Smith
|
G | 47 | 32.3 | 14.6 | 4.3 | 6.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 14.5 | 10.4 | -567 | 77 | -7.4 | -6.7 | 40.9 | 34.1 | 67.2 | -0.59 | 46.5 | 44.1 |
Robert Covington
|
G | 64 | 28.5 | 13.1 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 10.8 | 10.2 | -595 | 67 | -8.9 | -7.8 | 39.2 | 35.7 | 78.4 | -0.46 | 55.0 | 51.3 |
Nerlens Noel
|
G | 63 | 28.9 | 10.9 | 8.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 8.7 | 12.9 | -633 | 67 | -9.4 | -8.2 | 51.3 | 50.0 | 58.7 | -0.68 | 53.5 | 51.4 |
| Isaiah Canaan | G | 73 | 25.5 | 10.7 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 9.4 | 5.0 | -798 | 76 | -10.5 | -9.3 | 35.2 | 35.3 | 82.8 | -1.25 | 51.4 | 47.2 |
| Hollis Thompson | G | 73 | 27.6 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 8.9 | 5.6 | -758 | 77 | -9.8 | -8.3 | 39.9 | 37.6 | 75.0 | -0.74 | 52.6 | 50.6 |
Jerami Grant
|
G | 74 | 27.1 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 7.9 | 9.4 | -789 | 77 | -10.2 | -8.9 | 41.5 | 23.6 | 65.6 | -1.1 | 50.1 | 44.4 |
| Carl Landry | F | 33 | 15.7 | 9.5 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 6.8 | 7.6 | -301 | 36 | -8.4 | -9.2 | 55.1 | 45.5 | 72.9 | -0.5 | 60.0 | 56.2 |
| Tony Wroten | G | 8 | 18.0 | 8.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 8.1 | 2.1 | -142 | 8 | -17.8 | -16.9 | 33.8 | 17.6 | 54.1 | -0.52 | 41.2 | 36.2 |
Nik Stauskas
|
G | 70 | 24.7 | 8.1 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 4.7 | -683 | 73 | -9.4 | -8.5 | 37.6 | 32.1 | 75.9 | -0.81 | 50.7 | 47.3 |
T.J. McConnell
|
G | 77 | 20.1 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 7.6 | -804 | 81 | -9.9 | -9.1 | 47.4 | 36.1 | 63.4 | -1.16 | 51.6 | 50.8 |
Richaun Holmes
|
F | 49 | 13.9 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 5.2 | -392 | 51 | -7.7 | -8.8 | 50.9 | 18.2 | 68.9 | -0.6 | 56.1 | 52.8 |
JaKarr Sampson
|
G | 44 | 14.8 | 5.2 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 3.5 | -495 | 73 | -6.8 | -7.8 | 43.3 | 19.4 | 62.1 | -0.88 | 49.1 | 44.8 |
| Phil Pressey | - | 13 | 12.3 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 4.7 | -212 | 23 | -9.2 | -11.6 | 38.9 | 30.8 | 50.0 | -0.54 | 44.4 | 42.6 |
| Elton Brand | C | 16 | 13.1 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 4.7 | -111 | 17 | -6.5 | -7.7 | 41.3 | 0.0 | 88.9 | -0.17 | 44.8 | 41.3 |
Christian Wood
|
C | 16 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 3.7 | -106 | 16 | -6.6 | -9.8 | 42.3 | 36.4 | 61.9 | -0.05 | 49.8 | 46.2 |
| Kendall Marshall | G | 28 | 13.2 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 2.1 | -282 | 30 | -9.4 | -11.9 | 36.8 | 33.3 | 63.6 | -0.85 | 44.7 | 43.4 |
| Sonny Weems | - | 6 | 11.7 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 1.0 | -247 | 43 | -5.7 | -8.9 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.53 | 44.4 | 43.8 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2015-2016 Shot Zones
2100 located field-goal attempts in 24 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Ish SmithRobert CovingtonHollis ThompsonCarl LandryNik StauskasNerlens Noel
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 394-685 | 57.5 | 788 | Ish Smith 16% (128 pts) | Nerlens Noel 15% (120 pts) | Ish Smith 20% (57 misses) | Jerami Grant 19% (56 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 72-236 | 30.5 | 144 | Ish Smith 22% (32 pts) | T.J. McConnell 17% (24 pts) | Nerlens Noel 16% (27 misses) | Ish Smith 14% (23 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 65-167 | 38.9 | 130 | Carl Landry 28% (36 pts) | Hollis Thompson 17% (22 pts) | Carl Landry 18% (18 misses) | Ish Smith 14% (14 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 19-74 | 25.7 | 38 | Ish Smith 26% (10 pts) | Elton Brand 16% (6 pts) | Ish Smith 27% (15 misses) | Carl Landry 20% (11 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 65-164 | 39.6 | 130 | Ish Smith 25% (32 pts) | T.J. McConnell 22% (28 pts) | Ish Smith 23% (23 misses) | T.J. McConnell 22% (22 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 34-100 | 34.0 | 102 | Hollis Thompson 29% (30 pts) | Isaiah Canaan 21% (21 pts) | Nik Stauskas 29% (19 misses) | Hollis Thompson 18% (12 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 35-90 | 38.9 | 105 | Hollis Thompson 31% (33 pts) | Nik Stauskas 23% (24 pts) | Nik Stauskas 24% (13 misses) | Hollis Thompson 18% (10 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 85-240 | 35.4 | 255 | Robert Covington 32% (81 pts) | Isaiah Canaan 21% (54 pts) | Robert Covington 25% (38 misses) | Hollis Thompson 21% (33 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 43-135 | 31.9 | 129 | Robert Covington 28% (36 pts) | Ish Smith 23% (30 pts) | Robert Covington 25% (23 misses) | Isaiah Canaan 24% (22 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 70-209 | 33.5 | 210 | Robert Covington 26% (54 pts) | Isaiah Canaan 24% (51 pts) | Robert Covington 22% (31 misses) | Isaiah Canaan 21% (29 misses) |