Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.8% | 32.2% | -4.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -3 (105-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo Gallinari * | 39 | 7-14 | 3-9 | 7-9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Emmanuel Mudiay * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Joffrey Lauvergne * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Will Barton | 33 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jameer Nelson | 25 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kenneth Faried | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Mike Miller | 16 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| JJ Hickson | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nerlens Noel * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Robert Covington * | 30 | 6-13 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| T.J. McConnell * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jerami Grant * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Canaan * | 24 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Nik Stauskas | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Hollis Thompson | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| JaKarr Sampson | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Richaun Holmes | 14 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tony Wroten | 13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -5 | - |
* = starter