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2016-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 2.8% 97.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.9% 92.1% - โœ“
Margin 6.9% 93.1% +14.3 โœ“ (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.7% 78.3% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +3 (108-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ish Smith * 35 8-14 1-2 0-1 14 9 1 0 3 17 24 -
Hollis Thompson * 34 6-13 5-11 0-0 7 2 1 1 1 17 14 -
Jerami Grant * 31 4-11 0-1 5-10 7 3 0 4 2 13 14 -
Isaiah Canaan * 23 2-11 0-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 -3 -
Carl Landry * 16 5-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 12 9 -
Robert Covington 29 6-17 1-9 4-5 11 0 2 0 3 17 10 -
Nik Stauskas 25 4-8 3-6 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 13 9 -
T.J. McConnell 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 4 1 -
Kendall Marshall 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Elton Brand 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
Richaun Holmes 6 1-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
Sonny Weems 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 35 6-20 2-6 2-2 5 7 0 0 2 16 6 -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 35 6-12 3-8 5-5 8 2 0 0 0 20 18 -
CJ McCollum * 33 9-22 1-3 6-6 2 5 5 1 2 25 14 -
Maurice Harkless * 29 5-9 1-3 5-7 8 1 1 1 1 16 17 -
Mason Plumlee * 22 3-7 0-0 2-4 10 1 1 0 0 8 13 -
Ed Davis 25 2-4 0-0 2-4 13 2 1 2 0 6 20 -
Allen Crabbe 22 2-8 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 -2 -
Gerald Henderson 21 4-7 1-2 2-2 3 1 1 1 4 11 6 -
Noah Vonleh 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
Brian Roberts 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter