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2016-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 1.4% 98.6% +18.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 1.9% 98.1% - โœ“
Margin 1.5% 98.5% +22.9 โœ“ (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.4% 97.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 11.3% 88.7% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +12 (117-105). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ish Smith * 35 9-14 2-4 0-0 3 10 3 0 2 20 20 -
Hollis Thompson * 32 2-10 0-4 0-0 4 4 1 1 1 4 3 -
Isaiah Canaan * 28 3-9 3-6 6-6 0 2 0 0 1 15 7 -
Carl Landry * 24 9-15 0-0 4-4 8 3 1 0 2 22 17 -
Jerami Grant * 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Robert Covington 31 6-12 4-7 0-0 11 0 1 0 1 16 15 -
Nik Stauskas 31 4-10 1-6 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 9 6 -
T.J. McConnell 22 4-8 0-0 1-2 4 2 2 0 1 9 8 -
Elton Brand 16 5-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 1 10 10 -
Kendall Marshall 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Christian Wood 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 38 15-27 7-14 3-3 2 0 0 1 2 40 14 -
Draymond Green * 35 4-7 2-3 3-6 11 11 1 3 4 13 28 -
Stephen Curry * 33 7-16 2-9 4-5 3 8 4 0 4 20 15 -
Harrison Barnes * 32 4-9 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 10 5 -
Andrew Bogut * 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 0 5 -
Leandro Barbosa 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 1 2 6 -
Ian Clark 20 2-5 0-3 2-3 2 2 1 0 2 6 4 -
Marreese Speights 19 7-10 2-3 1-1 7 3 0 0 2 17 15 -
Brandon Rush 16 2-2 1-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 5 11 -
James Michael McAdoo 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -

* = starter