๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2015-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.9% 90.1% - โœ“
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.3 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 34.0% 66.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.0% 77.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.1% 76.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +8 (92-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 37 5-9 2-4 0-0 7 4 7 1 8 12 14 -
Isaiah Canaan * 35 5-15 4-12 2-2 1 3 2 0 4 16 3 -
Jahlil Okafor * 31 3-11 0-1 3-4 13 1 1 0 3 9 10 -
Jerami Grant * 30 3-9 1-4 4-5 7 1 2 3 1 11 14 -
JaKarr Sampson * 11 4-4 1-1 0-0 0 1 2 1 0 9 9 -
Hollis Thompson 27 5-11 2-7 0-0 5 3 2 1 0 12 12 -
T.J. McConnell 21 3-5 1-1 0-1 3 6 0 0 3 7 8 -
Phil Pressey 15 0-4 0-2 3-4 2 3 1 0 3 3 2 -
Richaun Holmes 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 0 -1 -
Nik Stauskas 12 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 5 2 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Gasol * 39 4-8 0-0 1-2 12 3 1 4 3 9 18 -
Mike Conley * 36 6-14 1-2 7-8 4 5 1 2 5 20 13 -
Zach Randolph * 32 6-17 0-0 5-6 11 0 1 0 2 17 10 -
Jeff Green * 28 4-10 1-4 4-4 2 2 1 0 3 13 5 -
Tony Allen * 19 4-8 0-0 0-1 4 0 2 0 0 8 6 -
Matt Barnes 27 5-10 1-4 2-5 8 5 2 1 0 13 19 -
JaMychal Green 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 2 0 -
Courtney Lee 16 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 1 1 0 4 3 0 -
Mario Chalmers 14 2-5 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 5 3 -
Vince Carter 8 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -

* = starter