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2015-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 82.3% 17.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.7% 21.3% - โœ“
Margin 72.2% 27.8% -5.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 62.4% 37.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 73.7% 26.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 73.7% 26.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 61.5% 38.5% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -8 (97-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Fournier * 39 7-12 3-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 17 6 -
Victor Oladipo * 34 6-18 1-3 2-2 5 3 2 0 1 15 6 -
Elfrid Payton * 32 8-10 0-0 4-4 2 5 3 1 2 20 19 -
Dewayne Dedmon * 29 2-6 0-0 8-8 9 0 1 3 0 12 19 -
Tobias Harris * 25 3-7 0-1 3-4 4 3 1 1 0 9 11 -
Aaron Gordon 22 4-7 1-3 1-2 6 2 1 0 0 10 12 -
Jason Smith 17 4-8 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 2 2 10 8 -
C.J. Watson 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 7 1 0 1 0 7 -
Mario Hezonja 12 5-11 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 11 2 -
Shabazz Napier 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 1 1 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nik Stauskas * 36 6-15 3-10 3-4 3 5 0 1 0 18 12 -
T.J. McConnell * 36 3-9 0-1 0-0 8 9 3 2 5 6 14 -
Jahlil Okafor * 32 7-14 0-0 5-10 5 3 0 3 3 19 13 -
Jerami Grant * 23 4-7 1-3 2-3 4 0 0 1 1 11 8 -
Nerlens Noel * 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 2 -1 -
Hollis Thompson 28 2-6 1-4 1-3 2 2 0 0 1 6 3 -
Isaiah Canaan 26 8-16 6-12 1-1 3 1 3 1 1 23 14 -
Richaun Holmes 18 4-5 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 8 11 -
Phil Pressey 10 1-3 0-2 1-3 3 3 0 0 1 3 5 -
JaKarr Sampson 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Christian Wood 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter