Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.2% | 91.8% | +13.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +13 (110-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Covington * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 31 | 6-18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Jerami Grant * | 29 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Nerlens Noel * | 28 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Nik Stauskas * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Hollis Thompson | 33 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Canaan | 22 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Richaun Holmes | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 35 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 28 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 31 | 9-18 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Stanley Johnson | 31 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Jennings | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Aron Baynes | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
* = starter