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2016-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 96.7% 3.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 96.7% 3.3% - โœ“
Margin 95.6% 4.4% -16.9 โœ“ (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 72.2% 27.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.5% 8.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.6% 8.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 82.0% 18.0% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -3 (105-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 34 4-11 3-5 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 11 10 -
Stephen Curry * 34 9-19 5-11 0-0 5 6 1 2 8 23 10 -
Draymond Green * 32 5-7 0-0 0-1 13 9 2 1 7 10 21 -
Klay Thompson * 32 14-26 4-10 0-0 2 3 0 0 5 32 6 -
Andrew Bogut * 25 4-8 0-0 0-0 16 4 0 2 0 8 22 -
Shaun Livingston 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 4 4 -
Leandro Barbosa 15 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 7 8 -
Ian Clark 15 2-5 0-1 1-1 1 1 0 1 1 5 2 -
Marreese Speights 11 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 6 8 -
Jason Thompson 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Brandon Rush 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 3 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ish Smith * 35 7-19 0-2 2-4 5 9 4 0 1 16 14 -
Robert Covington * 35 5-11 2-7 0-0 13 1 2 1 0 12 18 -
Nerlens Noel * 27 3-8 0-0 3-7 8 2 2 1 4 9 10 -
Nik Stauskas * 21 4-6 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 10 3 -
Jerami Grant * 19 4-9 0-3 2-2 1 3 1 1 1 10 6 -
Isaiah Canaan 30 5-11 5-9 3-3 4 2 4 0 0 18 17 -
Hollis Thompson 24 5-11 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 11 6 -
Jahlil Okafor 20 6-7 0-0 1-5 1 0 0 0 2 13 5 -
T.J. McConnell 20 3-6 0-1 0-0 4 4 3 0 0 6 11 -
JaKarr Sampson 3 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter