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2016-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 4.7% 95.3% +12.7 โœ“ (3.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 8.0% 92.0% - โœ“
Margin 6.3% 93.7% +14.8 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.0% 88.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.9% 88.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.9% 79.1% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Pacers +16 (91-75). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 34 6-12 0-1 2-4 4 2 0 1 1 14 8 -
Hollis Thompson * 32 6-13 1-5 2-2 6 2 1 0 1 15 10 -
Ish Smith * 31 2-15 0-1 0-0 9 4 3 0 1 4 4 -
Isaiah Canaan * 29 6-14 3-7 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 15 3 -
Nerlens Noel * 24 3-5 0-0 2-4 8 2 0 0 3 8 10 -
T.J. McConnell 21 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 4 4 -
Carl Landry 21 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 1 4 6 -
Sonny Weems 16 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
Nik Stauskas 15 1-5 0-3 2-2 0 0 0 1 4 4 -4 -
Elton Brand 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 34 4-16 1-5 6-6 6 3 2 0 1 15 9 -
Monta Ellis * 32 5-12 3-7 0-0 3 5 2 0 2 13 9 -
Ian Mahinmi * 30 6-8 0-0 0-1 10 0 0 1 4 12 11 -
Myles Turner * 26 5-9 0-2 0-0 6 1 2 3 2 10 11 -
George Hill * 25 6-8 0-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 12 12 -
Rodney Stuckey 18 3-12 2-4 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 9 0 -
Lavoy Allen 18 0-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 0 2 7 -
Jordan Hill 17 2-5 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
CJ Miles 17 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
Ty Lawson 15 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 6 6 -
Solomon Hill 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter