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2016-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 82.3% 17.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 84.4% 15.6% - โœ“
Margin 73.0% 27.0% -5.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 62.6% 37.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.7% 25.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.8% 25.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.0% 38.0% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -4 (111-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler III * 49 15-30 2-4 21-25 10 6 3 0 4 53 38 -
Joakim Noah * 38 3-8 0-0 0-0 16 8 2 1 7 6 18 -
Taj Gibson * 35 5-9 0-0 1-2 11 0 1 0 1 11 13 -
Kirk Hinrich * 32 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 5 6 -
Nikola Mirotic * 23 2-13 1-5 2-2 5 0 0 1 5 7 -5 -
Doug McDermott 33 7-12 1-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 17 9 -
E'Twaun Moore 26 6-8 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 14 9 -
Tony Snell 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
Bobby Portis Jr. 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Aaron Brooks 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -2 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nik Stauskas * 39 4-10 3-5 1-2 2 5 2 0 1 12 10 -
Ish Smith * 35 10-25 2-5 2-2 4 8 2 0 2 24 11 -
Jahlil Okafor * 33 5-11 0-0 2-3 4 2 1 1 1 12 8 -
JaKarr Sampson * 24 1-3 0-0 3-4 4 2 1 0 2 5 7 -
Carl Landry * 19 4-8 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 8 3 -
Hollis Thompson 33 3-8 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 7 2 -
Robert Covington 29 8-16 6-10 3-4 6 1 2 0 0 25 18 -
Nerlens Noel 24 3-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 3 1 8 10 -
T.J. McConnell 17 4-5 0-1 2-3 3 3 3 0 2 10 12 -
Isaiah Canaan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Richaun Holmes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter