Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.3% | 10.7% | -9.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.6% | 16.4% | -9.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -10 (102-112). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luol Deng * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 34 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 26 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 25 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 30 | - |
| Josh Richardson | 33 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Gerald Green | 19 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Justise Winslow | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Udonis Haslem | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Covington * | 40 | 8-18 | 4-11 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 38 | 11-21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Jerami Grant * | 37 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Hollis Thompson * | 31 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Canaan | 28 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Richaun Holmes | 25 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Elton Brand | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
* = starter