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2015-11-02

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 97.5% 2.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 93.9% 6.1% - โœ“
Margin 92.7% 7.3% -14.0 โœ“ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 70.8% 29.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 89.2% 10.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.2% 10.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 77.8% 22.2% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -7 (100-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 33 9-19 0-3 4-4 9 11 4 2 3 22 26 -
Kevin Love * 28 7-14 0-4 1-1 8 2 0 0 2 15 9 -
Mo Williams * 27 8-10 2-3 3-3 1 3 1 0 2 21 14 -
Timofey Mozgov * 22 2-7 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 4 2 6 9 -
JR Smith * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Matthew Dellavedova 34 5-8 1-3 1-2 5 9 0 0 3 12 15 -
Tristan Thompson 26 4-7 0-0 0-2 9 1 0 3 0 8 14 -
Richard Jefferson 21 2-4 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
Jared Cunningham 17 1-3 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
James Jones 15 4-6 4-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 12 7 -
Joe Harris 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Anderson Varejao 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nerlens Noel * 33 7-13 0-0 0-2 8 2 1 3 4 14 11 -
Isaiah Canaan * 30 2-8 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 7 2 -
Nik Stauskas * 28 4-10 3-9 4-4 4 1 1 0 2 15 9 -
Jahlil Okafor * 26 11-21 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 1 24 5 -
Robert Covington * 22 1-9 0-5 2-2 2 0 2 1 2 4 -2 -
Hollis Thompson 31 3-7 1-4 5-6 6 4 1 0 1 12 15 -
T.J. McConnell 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 12 1 0 0 6 22 -
Jerami Grant 22 3-8 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 2 7 1 -
Richaun Holmes 11 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
Christian Wood 5 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
JaKarr Sampson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter