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2016-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“
Margin 25.8% 74.2% +5.8 โœ“ (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +17 (131-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hollis Thompson * 32 5-11 2-6 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 14 7 -
Isaiah Canaan * 31 5-10 5-10 5-5 2 1 0 0 1 20 12 -
Ish Smith * 30 6-13 2-5 4-5 3 6 0 0 2 18 12 -
Nerlens Noel * 29 8-16 0-0 2-4 6 2 1 1 5 18 7 -
Carl Landry * 25 3-7 0-1 4-6 8 4 1 1 0 10 17 -
Nik Stauskas 30 6-13 2-6 4-4 7 1 2 1 2 18 14 -
T.J. McConnell 20 4-7 0-1 0-0 4 5 2 0 3 8 9 -
Kendall Marshall 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 4 3 -
Elton Brand 12 2-6 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 4 1 -
Sonny Weems 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 37 17-27 4-9 6-7 8 2 0 0 3 44 24 -
Brook Lopez * 37 7-17 1-1 3-4 10 4 1 0 2 18 14 -
Thaddeus Young * 32 5-9 0-0 4-4 16 4 2 3 0 14 30 -
Donald Sloan * 24 3-5 0-1 3-4 2 3 1 0 1 9 9 -
Wayne Ellington * 16 3-8 2-6 0-0 5 3 2 0 0 8 10 -
Markel Brown 24 2-6 0-2 4-4 5 2 1 0 2 8 8 -
Shane Larkin 24 4-6 0-0 2-2 0 2 3 0 1 10 8 -
Sean Kilpatrick 23 6-9 3-4 4-4 3 2 0 0 1 19 14 -
Thomas Robinson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Chris McCullough 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 2 -
Sergey Karasev 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter