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2015-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.7% 92.3% - โœ“
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.3 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.2% 88.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.2% 88.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.1% 79.9% - โœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +17 (112-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jahlil Okafor * 38 10-16 0-0 6-6 7 1 1 2 8 26 13 -
Isaiah Canaan * 37 6-14 4-10 2-2 7 2 1 0 3 18 11 -
Hollis Thompson * 36 3-14 3-9 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 9 -1 -
Nerlens Noel * 35 5-13 0-0 4-7 13 2 3 2 3 14 18 -
JaKarr Sampson * 26 5-9 0-1 3-3 4 0 1 0 3 13 6 -
T.J. McConnell 27 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 4 3 1 3 4 5 -
Jerami Grant 26 2-7 0-1 5-5 6 0 2 0 0 9 10 -
Richaun Holmes 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Christian Wood 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Avery Bradley * 32 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 4 1 -
Marcus Smart * 32 3-8 3-6 4-4 2 5 2 1 1 13 14 -
Jae Crowder * 31 4-7 2-4 4-4 6 3 2 0 3 14 15 -
David Lee * 21 2-8 0-0 4-4 5 5 0 1 2 8 9 -
Tyler Zeller * 10 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 6 3 -
Isaiah Thomas 29 10-19 1-6 6-7 2 7 3 0 3 27 17 -
Evan Turner 22 2-5 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 3 6 4 -
Jared Sullinger 21 6-8 0-2 0-0 7 2 1 1 1 12 14 -
Amir Johnson 20 6-11 1-2 2-2 7 1 0 2 1 15 13 -
Jonas Jerebko 15 2-7 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 1 0 5 5 -
Terry Rozier 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jordan Mickey 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter