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2016-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 94.4% 5.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 91.3% 8.7% - โœ“
Margin 86.1% 13.9% -10.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 67.7% 32.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 84.3% 15.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 71.1% 28.9% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -13 (95-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 38 10-17 1-4 4-5 6 5 2 0 3 25 18 -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 9-17 0-2 1-2 7 5 0 0 2 19 12 -
Jonas Valanciunas * 28 7-10 0-0 3-5 9 2 1 2 1 17 20 -
Luis Scola * 17 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 2 -1 -
James Johnson * 12 2-5 0-1 1-1 0 0 1 0 1 5 0 -
Cory Joseph 30 1-4 0-1 7-8 5 4 1 1 2 9 14 -
Patrick Patterson 29 3-5 3-4 2-2 2 2 0 1 1 11 10 -
Terrence Ross 23 6-10 1-4 3-4 2 0 1 0 1 16 8 -
Bismack Biyombo 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 2 7 -
Norman Powell 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Delon Wright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jahlil Okafor * 33 9-15 0-0 1-2 6 4 2 1 0 19 17 -
Ish Smith * 33 12-22 2-2 2-4 5 4 3 0 1 28 17 -
Nerlens Noel * 32 1-4 0-0 2-4 8 2 2 3 2 4 13 -
Nik Stauskas * 24 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 1 3 3 4 -
Jerami Grant * 22 1-3 0-1 1-2 4 3 0 0 4 3 3 -
Hollis Thompson 30 3-9 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 2 -
JaKarr Sampson 17 1-3 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
T.J. McConnell 14 2-6 1-1 0-0 1 8 2 0 0 5 10 -
Carl Landry 12 5-6 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
Robert Covington 9 2-5 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
Isaiah Canaan 9 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 6 2 -

* = starter